Match Info

National League - Round 44

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boreham Wood		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.49	4.65	5.3
	1.58	4.4	5.06
	1.49	4.63	5.54	Watch
	1.57	4	4.8
	1.59	4.04	5.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	4.27 ↑ (4.21)	5.15 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
60.2%

Draw
21.7%

Hartlepool United
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.1%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

21.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Boreham Wood - Hartlepool United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Curd T. (G) 15. Clarke J. 6. O'Connell C. 5. Bush Ch. 3. Ilesanmi F. 19. White T. (C) 23. Booty R. 11. Ayinde L. 8. Brunt Z. 10. Abdulmalik A. 32. Rush M.	23. Hayes N. (G) 2. Benn J. 15. Hunter J. 5. Kouogun M. 3. John C. 35. Caton C. 4. Parkes T. (C) 18. Miley J. 37. Sinclair T. 28. Daly M. 19. Reid A.
Substitutes
2. Coxe C. 14. Henry A. 26. Landers J. 12. Newton J. 16. Reynolds C. 20. Richardson L. 7. Sousa E.	17. Folarin S. 6. McNally R. 27. Oliver V. 14. Sheron N. 40. Smith A. (G) 24. Smith-Sway J. 38. Walker B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Parkes T. 🟨,
25', Booty R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Rush M. ⚽, Brunt Z. (A),
55', 2 - 0, Rush M. ⚽, Booty R. (A),
62', Miley J. ↓, Smith-Sway J. ↑,
62', Parkes T. ↓, McNally R. ↑,
62', Booty R. ↓, Reynolds C. ↑,
82', Caton C. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
82', Reid A. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
82', Hunter J. ↓, Walker B. ↑,
82', Ayinde L. ↓, Sousa E. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Rush M. ⚽, Brunt Z. (A),
90+4', Rush M. ↓, Landers J. ↑,
90+4', Abdulmalik A. ↓, Richardson L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boreham Wood won 2.

Boreham Wood is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hartlepool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Boreham Wood is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Boreham Wood won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Boreham Wood won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34:13	21	35
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Boreham Wood - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.34%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League
06.04.26	Solihull Moors - Boreham Wood	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Boreham Wood - Wealdstone	5:1 ✺
28.03.26	Truro City - Boreham Wood	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Aldershot Town - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Boreham Wood - Gateshead	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWW
- Hartlepool United
English National League
06.04.26	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Wealdstone - Hartlepool United	7:0 ✺
25.03.26	Morecambe - Hartlepool United	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.08.25	Hartlepool United - Boreham Wood	0:0
17.02.24	Hartlepool United - Boreham Wood	3:1
04.10.23	Boreham Wood - Hartlepool United	1:0
05.04.21	Boreham Wood - Hartlepool United	2:2
05.12.20	Hartlepool United - Boreham Wood	1:2
29.02.20	Boreham Wood - Hartlepool United	1:1
23.11.19	Hartlepool United - Boreham Wood	2:2

Boreham Wood - Hartlepool United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide