Match Info

THAILAND: LEAGUE CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday


	Chiangmai		Pathum United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.5	5.5	1.24
	11.64	5.18	1.25
	6.5	3.9	1.4
	11	6.1	1.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.41 ↑ (4.64)	5.17 ↑ (4.5)	1.28 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiangmai
9.8%

Draw
17.9%

Pathum United
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

21.5%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiangmai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chiangmai's form might have worsened.

Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pathum United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangmai than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chiangmai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pathum United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Chiangmai - Pathum United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chiangmai will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Pathum United will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chiangmai: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chiangmai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pathum United is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chiangmai FC
Thai League 2
19.02.23	Chiangmai - Kasetsart	4:2 ✺
11.02.23	Krabi - Chiangmai	0:0
03.02.23	Chiangmai - Phrae United	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Rayong FC - Chiangmai	4:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
25.01.23	Chiangmai - Khonkaen United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTLW
- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
18.02.23	Pathum United - Prachuap	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Lamphun Warriors - Pathum United	3:0 ✺
Thai FA Cup
08.02.23	Pathum United - Lamphun Warriors	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
04.02.23	Pathum United - Buriram United	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Police Tero - Pathum United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWLT

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