Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: BG Stadium (Pathum Thani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Pathum United		Buriram United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.45	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.77	1.87
	4	3.8	1.74	Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.75
	4	3.8	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.35)	3.6 ↑ (3.32)	1.78 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pathum United
22.9%

Draw
25.5%

Buriram United
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.4%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

26.1%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buriram United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pathum United - Buriram United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buriram (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Buriram (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Buriram (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Anuin S. (G) 2. Nonthasila S. 16. Sandokhadze N. 89. Buaphan C. 24. Pimoytha T. 8. Panya E. 5. Kaman K. (C) 4. Tongkiri C. 7. Raniel 99. bin Fandi Ahmad I. 18. Songkrasin C.	13. Etheridge N. (G) 75. Lee-Oh S. 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 40. Edu Mancha 5. Bunmathan T. 2. Haiprakon S. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 32. Zulj R. 10. Mueanta S. (C) 28. Sanchez R. 7. Bissoli
Substitutes
81. Choolthong W. 14. Doi T. 93. Dorkmaikaew P. (G) 11. Gustavsson P. 22. James N. 29. Jamnongwat W. 27. Jantawong P. 95. Matheus Fornazari 15. Matsuda R. 9. Sareepim S. 31. Takagi Y. 6. Yooyen S.	34. Bootprom C. (G) 23. Causic G. 3. Hemviboon P. 9. Jaided S. 8. Maikami R. 54. Rattanasuwan N. 14. Walsh S. 15. Weerawatnodom N. 44. Zulj P.
Coaches
Vujovic V.	Jackson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Bissoli ⚽, Haiprakon S. (A),
25', Pimoytha T. ↓, Choolthong W. ↑,
32', 1 - 1, Raniel ⚽, Songkrasin C. (A),
36', 1 - 2, Mueanta S. ⚽, Sukjitthammakul P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zulj R. ↓, Causic G. ↑,
55', Buaphan C. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
55', Tongkiri C. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
61', Anuin S. ↓, Dorkmaikaew P. ↑,
70', Mueanta S. ↓, Jaided S. ↑,
74', Panya E. ↓, Sareepim S. ↑,
74', bin Fandi Ahmad I. ↓, Matheus Fornazari ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Jaided S. ⚽,
80', Nonthasila S. 🟨,
80', Jaided S. 🟨,
85', Bissoli ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
85', Etheridge N. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Pathum United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Buriram might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buriram	3	2	1	0	5:2	3	7
8	Pathum United	3	1	1	1	5:5	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Pathum United
ASEAN Club Championship
04.02.26	Selangor FA - Pathum United	1:1 ✺
Thai League 1
31.01.26	Pathum United - Chiangrai United	2:2 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
28.01.26	Pathum United - Cebu FC	2:0 ✺
Thai League 1
25.01.26	Pathum United - Uthai Thani	4:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
21.01.26	Muangthong United - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWWW
- Buriram United
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
04.02.26	Buriram United - Cebu FC	6:0 ✺
Thai League 1
01.02.26	Buriram United - Bangkok United	0:2 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
28.01.26	Tampines Rovers - Buriram United	1:4 ✺
Thai League Cup
21.01.26	Buriram United - Prachuap	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
05.10.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	2:2
ASEAN Club Championship
24.09.25	Pathum United - Buriram United	2:2
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	2:1
Thai FA Cup
10.05.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	3:0
ASEAN Club Championship
07.05.25	Pathum United - Buriram United	0:0
Thai League 1
12.04.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	1:2
ASEAN Club Championship
02.04.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	3:1

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