Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: 700th Anniversary Stadium (Chiang Mai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Chiangmai United		Phrae United

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.2	2.48	Watch
	2.42	3.42	2.5
	2.56	3.46	2.42	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.49	3.3	2.45
	2.54	3.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.82)	3.3 ↓ (3.37)	2.46 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiangmai United
36.1%

Draw
27.3%

Phrae United
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

26.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.9%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiangmai United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Phrae United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiangmai United than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chiangmai United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phrae United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phrae United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chiangmai United - Phrae United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Jeong W. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiangmai United won 0.

Recent performances by Chiangmai United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Phrae is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Phrae could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chiangmai United won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chiangmai United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Chiangmai Utd	4	2	0	2	5:4	1	6
14	Phrae	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4

Last Results with these Odds

Chiangmai United - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 31.88%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chiangmai United
Thai League 2
17.01.26	Songkhla - Chiangmai United	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Chiangmai United - Mahasarakham	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangmai United	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Rasisalai United - Chiangmai United	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Chiangmai United - Khonkaen United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLW
- Phrae United
Thai League 2
17.01.26	Phrae United - Kasetsart	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Trat - Phrae United	2:2 ✺
23.12.25	Phrae United - Songkhla	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Phrae United - Police Tero	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Pattaya United - Phrae United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
30.08.25	Phrae United - Chiangmai United	3:1
26.04.25	Chiangmai United - Phrae United	1:1
10.08.24	Phrae United - Chiangmai United	1:1
17.12.23	Phrae United - Chiangmai United	1:1
09.04.23	Phrae United - Chiangmai United	1:0
04.12.22	Chiangmai United - Phrae United	0:3
03.03.21	Chiangmai United - Phrae United	2:2

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