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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire II 41.8%
Draw 25.7%
Atlanta United II 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
24.9%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
24.1%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Pratt O. (G) 55. Nigg D. 38. Cupps C. 5. Rogers S. 62. Berg H. 66. Nagle C. 65. Pineda O. 57. Hyte D. 72. Villanueva D. 76. Napoe M. 28. Boltz D.
51. Ransom J. (G) 72. Ettinger I. 82. Senanou M. 64. Cisset M. 50. Chong-Qui D. 16. Gill A. 23. Torres A. 67. Dovlo E. 56. Suarez I. 70. Dunbar C. 39. Kovac A.
Substitutes
45. Clark M. 34. Gonzalez O. 64. Herrera E. 90. Molenda D. (G) 30. Sandmeyer J.
61. Browne A. 38. Butts L. 91. Clarson R. (G) 81. Sibrian D. 80. Tablante M. 33. Weah P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Kovac A. ⚽,
23', Kovac A. 🟨,
30', Hyte D. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Dunbar C. ⚽, Suarez I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rogers S. ↓, Sandmeyer J. ↑,
53', Villanueva D. 🟨,
59', Napoe M. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
65', Boltz D. 🟨,
72', Kovac A. ↓, Weah P. ↑,
72', Boltz D. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
79', Dovlo E. ↓, Tablante M. ↑,
79', Torres A. ↓, Sibrian D. ↑,
80', Pineda O. 🟨,
84', 0 - 3, Gill A. ⚽, Suarez I. (A),
87', Suarez I. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
90', Ransom J. 🟨,
90+3', Clark M. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
Chicago Fire II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Atlanta United II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Chicago Fire II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
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Pratt O. (G) 
Nigg D. 
Pineda O. 
Ransom J. (G) 
Cisset M. 
Torres A. 
Dovlo E. 
Clark M. 
Sibrian D. 
Tablante M. 
Weah P. 
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