The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlanta United II 59.8%
Draw 21%
Carolina Core 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57%
22.7%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
21.8%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Atlanta United II - Carolina Core Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
60. Donaldson J. (G) 38. Butts L. 44. Chica D. 50. Chong-Qui D. 64. Cisset M. 67. Dovlo E. 70. Dunbar C. 78. Jardines A. 82. Senanou M. (C) 81. Sibrian D. 56. Suarez I.
90. Anderson N. (G) 88. Baer R. 58. Diaz D. 4. Evers N. 19. Hammond S. 9. Kaloukian N. 6. Montenegro R. 2. Orbaugh C. 25. Swinehart B. 26. Tattevin A. 24. Weber T.
Substitutes
. Brown 61. Browne A. 91. Clarson R. (G) 52. Fakiseyi O. 85. Henry A. 79. Ilevbare D. . Riveras 76. Santillan N. 33. Weah P.
14. Balogun K. 18. Colon D. 33. Ford B. 55. Ford G. 44. Jackson T. (G) 8. Lundeen C. 15. Pineda T. 20. Raimbault T. 77. Tetteh R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Dunbar C. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Chong-Qui D. ⚽, Dunbar C. (A),
24', Diaz D. 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Tattevin A. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 3 - 1, Dovlo E. ⚽, Chica D. (A),
45+1', 3 - 2, Tattevin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hammond S. ↓, Ford G. ↑,
46', Weber T. ↓, Ford B. ↑,
46', Orbaugh C. ↓, Tetteh R. ↑,
50', 3 - 3, Tattevin A. ⚽, Ford B. (A),
55', Tattevin A. ↓, Pineda T. ↑,
65', Dovlo E. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
73', Butts L. ↓, Weah P. ↑,
73', Sibrian D. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
74', Suarez I. ↓, Riveras G. ↑,
85', Kaloukian N. ↓, Lundeen C. ↑,
87', Evers N. 🟨,
90+7', Dunbar C. ↓, Fakiseyi O. ↑,
Penalties (9 - 10)
1, Baer R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Cisset M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Diaz D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Chong-Qui D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Evers N. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Weah P. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pineda T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Riveras G. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Lundeen C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Chica D. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Ford B. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Senanou M. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Ford G. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Fakiseyi O. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Tetteh R. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Browne A. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Montenegro R. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Jardines A. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Swinehart B. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Henry A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United II won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Atlanta United II is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta United II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
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Donaldson J. (G) 
Butts L. 
Cisset M. 
Dovlo E. 
Sibrian D. 
Kaloukian N. 
Tattevin A. 
Brown 
Weah P. 
Raimbault T. 
Tetteh R. 
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