Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Martin Stadium (Evanston, IL) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Padilla J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Canada	16:00	TSN 2
Usa	16:00	CBS Sports Network, ESPN USA
International	20:00	NWSL+


	Chicago Stars		Denver Summit

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.50	4.75	1.34
	6.10	4.30	1.38
	6.63	5.31	1.36
	6.2	5.2	1.39	Watch
	6.45	5.25	1.34
	7.40	5.70	1.35	Watch
	6.60	4.90	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↑ (6.37)	5.06 ↑ (4.95)	1.36 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Stars
14%

Draw
18.2%

Denver Summit
67.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.1%

18.2%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

17.7%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Denver Summit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denver Summit than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Chicago Stars - Denver Summit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Atkinson K. (G) 5. Alozie M. 20. Franklin B. 3. Staab S. 11. Gomes N. 34. Dellarose T. E. 23. Johnson M. 28. Egizii E. 7. Grosso J. 9. Swanson M. (C) 10. Pinto B. A.	1. Smith A. (G) 7. Oke A. 23. Gaetino E. 3. Kurtz K. 6. Sonis J. 8. Regan E. 24. Sheehan D. 9. Ryan Y. 10. Heaps L. (C) 18. Yamamoto Y. 26. Flint N.
Substitutes
4. Bike J. 18. Charley S. 15. Evans E. 25. Farmer A. 31. Gasper A. 22. Mackiewicz H. (G) 1. Naeher A. (G) 6. Valdezate O. 14. Wood T.	36. Asman K. (G) 13. Bonner G. 25. Kossler M. 5. Lynch D. 14. McCormack Y. 4. Means N. 20. Ndjoah Eto N. 2. Reid M. 33. Thomas O.
Coaches
Baez Trujillo K. P.	Cushing N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Sonis J. ⚽, Regan E. (A),
20', Alozie M. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Heaps L. ⚽, Sonis J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Egizii E. ↓, Bike J. ↑,
60', Swanson M. ↓, Charley S. ↑,
62', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Means N. ↑,
74', Flint N. ↓, Kossler M. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Heaps L. ⚽,
77', Dellarose T. E. ↓, Gasper A. ↑,
77', Johnson M. ↓, Wood T. ↑,
86', Grosso J. ↓, Farmer A. ↑,
88', Oke A. ↓, Ndjoah Eto N. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th and 10th).

Chicago is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Denver has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Chicago may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Denver holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Chicago has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Denver Summit W	29	11	8	10	53:41	12	41
16	Chicago W	29	5	2	22	17:69	-52	17

Last Results with these Odds

Chicago Stars - the odds 6.37 are the expected chance of winning is 14.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Stars
NWSL
25.09.26	NJ NY Gotham - Chicago Stars	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Chicago Stars - Washington Spirit	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Portland Thorns - Chicago Stars	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Chicago Stars - North Carolina Courage	0:6 ✺
29.08.26	Denver Summit - Chicago Stars	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTLL
- Denver Summit
NWSL
26.09.26	Kansas City Current - Denver Summit	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Denver Summit - Seattle Reign	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Denver Summit - Bay FC	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Angel City - Denver Summit	3:3 ✺
06.09.26	Denver Summit - NJ NY Gotham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
29.08.26	Denver Summit - Chicago Stars	6:1

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