The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Stars 14.2%
Draw 18.2%
North Carolina Courage 67.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.3%
20.1%
63.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.8%
19.5%
65.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (-2%)
Chicago Stars - North Carolina Courage Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Naeher A. (C) 5. Alozie M. 25. Farmer A. 3. Staab S. 29. Ouahabi L. 34. Dellarose T. E. 4. Bike J. 14. Wood T. 7. Grosso J. 11. Gomes N. 10. Pinto B. A.
1. Sheridan K. (C) 13. Williams R. 18. Shiragaki U. 12. Staude N. 11. Rauch F. 8. Okafor C. 20. Koyama S. 26. Boe Risa V. 19. Parkinson E. 2. Sanchez A. 10. Ijeh E.
Substitutes
27. Atkinson K. (G) 18. Charley S. 28. Egizii E. 15. Evans E. 20. Franklin B. 31. Gasper A. 16. Hayashi M. 22. Mackiewicz H. (G) 6. Valdezate O.
33. Betfort H. 21. Bia 5. Brooks C. 6. Garner I. 80. Pena O. 17. Weatherholt D. 99. White M. (G) 14. Wickenheiser C. 9. Wingate O.
Coaches
Baez Trujillo K. P.
Lind M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽, Parkinson E. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Okafor C. ⚽, Ijeh E. (A),
45+2', Bike J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
61', 0 - 3, Koyama S. ⚽, Okafor C. (A),
63', 0 - 4, Williams R. ⚽,
69', 0 - 5, Sanchez A. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Okafor C. ↓, Bia ↑,
70', Ijeh E. ↓, Betfort H. ↑,
70', Boe Risa V. ↓, Wickenheiser C. ↑,
71', Grosso J. ↓, Gasper A. ↑,
71', Bike J. ↓, Egizii E. ↑,
71', Alozie M. ↓, Charley S. ↑,
71', Farmer A. ↓, Franklin B. ↑,
76', Rauch F. ↓, Weatherholt D. ↑,
78', Pinto B. A. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
80', Shiragaki U. 🟨,
81', 0 - 6, Sanchez A. ⚽, Williams R. (A),
84', Franklin B. 🟨,
85', Sanchez A. ↓, Garner I. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.
Chicago is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
North Carolina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, North Carolina is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:43. (average 0.9:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).