Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: SeatGeek Stadium (Bridgeview, IL)

Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	TSN 3
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App, NWSL+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Chicago Stars		Portland Thorns

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.73
	5.5	4.25	1.44	Watch
	6.38	4.63	1.44
	5.09	4.52	1.53	Watch
	5.5	4	1.44
	5.27	4.43	1.53	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (3.2)	4.06 ↑ (3.2)	1.59 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Stars
18.6%

Draw
22.9%

Portland Thorns
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Stars's form might have worsened.

Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portland Thorns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portland Thorns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Naeher A. (C) 4. Bike J. 6. Hendrich K. 3. Staab S. 34. Dellarose T. E. 25. Farmer A. 5. Alozie M. 11. Gomes N. 16. Hayashi M. 7. Grosso J. 99. Huitema J.	18. Arnold M. (G) 23. Muller M. 5. Obaze I. 16. Hiatt S. (C) 25. Vignola M. 21. Fleming J. 6. Bogere C. 26. Alidou d'Anjou M. 13. Moultrie O. 19. Tordin P. 9. Wilson S.
Substitutes
18. Chacon I. 28. Egizii E. 15. Evans E. 23. Johnson M. 77. Lopez Millan M. 22. Mackiewicz H. (G) 13. Nesbeth L. 10. Pinto B. A.	4. Calzada C. 10. Castellanos D. 41. Lyles R. 29. Mckenzie M. 35. Messner M. (G) 11. Padelski M. 24. Perry J. 2. Reyes R. 66. Turner R.
Coaches
Sjogren M.	Vilahamn R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Dellarose T. E. ↓, Egizii E. ↑,
17', 0 - 1, Moultrie O. ⚽, Tordin P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wilson S. ↓, Turner R. ↑,
61', Farmer A. ↓, Pinto B. A. ↑,
61', Muller M. ↓, Reyes R. ↑,
78', Alidou d'Anjou M. ↓, Castellanos D. ↑,
81', Gomes N. ↓, Johnson M. ↑,
81', Egizii E. ↓, Chacon I. ↑,
84', Tordin P. ↓, Mckenzie M. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Turner R. ⚽, Moultrie O. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.

Chicago is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Portland Thorns is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Portland Thorns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Portland Thorns is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:39. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Portland Thorns W	27	12	7	8	45:39	6	43
16	Chicago W	27	5	2	20	15:63	-48	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Stars
NWSL
29.04.26	Chicago Stars - NJ NY Gotham	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Chicago Stars - Boston Legacy	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Utah Royals - Chicago Stars	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	San Diego Wave - Chicago Stars	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Chicago Stars - Orlando Pride	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Portland Thorns
NWSL
29.04.26	Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Angel City - Portland Thorns	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	North Carolina Courage - Portland Thorns	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Portland Thorns - Kansas City Current	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
14.09.25	Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns	1:1
21.06.25	Portland Thorns - Chicago Stars	1:0
13.09.24	Portland Thorns - Chicago Stars	0:1
27.04.24	Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns	0:2
18.06.23	Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns	2:3
21.05.23	Portland Thorns - Chicago Stars	4:0
25.09.22	Portland Thorns - Chicago Stars	3:0

Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide