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Current Win Probability
Chicago Stars 24.5%
Draw 23.4%
Racing Louisville 52%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
25.1%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
25%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Stars's form might have worsened.
Racing Louisville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Louisville's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Louisville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chicago Stars - Racing Louisville Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Atkinson K. (G) 5. Alozie M. 34. Dellarose T. E. 3. Staab S. 29. Ouahabi L. 77. Lopez Millan M. 8. Joseph J. 4. Bike J. 31. Gasper A. 9. Swanson M. (C) 23. Johnson M.
24. Bloomer J. (G) 5. Jean E. 3. Wright A. (C) 15. Gacioch M. 12. McMahon Q. 2. Milliet L. 26. Flint T. 6. Hase E. 88. McKeen A. 9. Fischer K. 13. Sears E.
Substitutes
28. Egizii E. 15. Evans E. 25. Farmer A. 20. Franklin B. 11. Gomes N. 7. Grosso J. 16. Hayashi M. 1. Naeher A. (G) 14. Wood T.
23. Blackburn M. 21. Hill R. 10. Hodge M. 16. Lardner M. 4. Morris M. 20. O'Kane K. 8. Petersen C. 1. Prohaska M. (G) 42. Weber S.
Coaches
Baez Trujillo K. P.
Yanez B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Joseph J. ⚽, Swanson M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Gasper A. ↓, Farmer A. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Flint T. ⚽, Milliet L. (A),
62', 2 - 1, Swanson M. ⚽, Alozie M. (A),
65', Swanson M. ↓, Grosso J. ↑,
65', Fischer K. ↓, Lardner M. ↑,
66', Johnson M. ↓, Gomes N. ↑,
68', McKeen A. ↓, O'Kane K. ↑,
68', Hase E. ↓, Morris M. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Morris M. ⚽,
79', Bike J. ↓, Egizii E. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Grosso J. ⚽, Gomes N. (A),
83', McMahon Q. ↓, Hill R. ↑,
83', Sears E. ↓, Weber S. ↑,
90+4', Alozie M. ↓, Wood T. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.
Chicago is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Racing Louisville is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
In this match, Racing Louisville is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1.1).
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Atkinson K. (G) 
Alozie M. 
Ouahabi L. 
Gasper A. 
Farmer A. 
Gomes N. 
Grosso J. 
Hayashi M. 
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