Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Chichester City		Hendon

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.2
	2.65	3.65	2.24
	2.69	3.8	2.22
	2.64	3.79	2.24
	2.5	3.5	2.38
	2.69	3.64	2.21
	2.65	3.65	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.23)	3.65 ↑ (3.64)	2.25 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chichester City
34.6%

Draw
24.9%

Hendon
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

24.8%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

23.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chichester City's form might have worsened.

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hendon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chichester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hendon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chichester City - Hendon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', Mfinda R. 🟥,
90+7', 1 - 0, Wild J. (Pen),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 16 and 12).

Chichester is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hendon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hendon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chichester City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.12.24	Chichester City - Whitehawk	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Lewes - Chichester City	2:3 ✺
10.12.24	Cray Wanderers - Chichester City	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Chichester City - Hastings United	2:3 ✺
30.11.24	Potters Bar Town - Chichester City	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLL
- Hendon
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.12.24	Hendon - Canvey Island	0:1 ✺
10.12.24	Hashtag United - Hendon	3:2 ✺
30.11.24	Billericay Town - Hendon	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Hendon - Whitehawk	3:0 ✺
23.11.24	Hendon - Hastings United	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW

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