Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 38

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Chieri		Borgaro

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.6
	1.54	3.87	5.04
	1.56	3.93	5.15	Watch
	1.53	3.82	5.46
	1.62	3.75	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)	3.82 ↑ (3.39)	4.97 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chieri
57.9%

Draw
23.8%

Borgaro
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chieri's performance.

Borgaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borgaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chieri than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borgaro than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Chieri - Borgaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Edera S. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Ferrara V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
60', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Chieri is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chieri won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chieri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Chieri 1955
Italian Serie D - Group A
27.04.25	Fossano - Chieri	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Chieri - Unione Sanremo	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Ligorna - Chieri	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Chieri - Varese	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Vogherese - Chieri	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WLTTT
- Borgaro 1965
Italian Serie D - Group A
27.04.25	Borgaro - Bra	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Chisola - Borgaro	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Borgaro - Lavagnese	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	NovaRomentin - Borgaro	8:2 ✺
30.03.25	Borgaro - Vado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
22.12.24	Borgaro - Chieri	2:1
27.01.19	Chieri - Borgaro	0:1
07.10.18	Borgaro - Chieri	1:3
13.01.18	Borgaro - Chieri	0:1
09.09.17	Chieri - Borgaro	1:0

Chieri - Borgaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide