Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 33

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Borgaro		Vado

	1	X	2
	5.6	4	1.5
	6.23	3.8	1.48
	5.6	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.81 ↓ (6.04)	3.93 ↓ (4)	1.49 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borgaro
15.7%

Draw
23.2%

Vado
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

22.7%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

22.2%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borgaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borgaro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Borgaro - Vado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Ferram J. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Abonckelet M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 2, Alfiero V. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).

Borgaro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vado is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vado is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borgaro 1965
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.03.25	Derthona - Borgaro	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Borgaro - Asti	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Borgaro - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Fossano - Borgaro	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Varese - Borgaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTLLL
- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.03.25	Vado - Fossano	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Varese - Vado	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Vado - Unione Sanremo	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Imperia - Vado	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Vado - Vogherese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTTW

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