Match Info

WE League Cup Women - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Omiya Ardija		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.00	3.10
	2.20	3.10	3.41
	2.06	3.16	3.45	Watch
	2.10	2.80	3.35
	2.23	3.22	3.11
	2.17	3.00	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.38)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	3.25 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
42.2%

Draw
29.8%

JEF United Chiba
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JEF United Chiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+4%)

Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Ogawa Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 1, Kanehira R. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ WE League Cup Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ WE League Cup Women PlayoffsSemi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya Ardija won 0.

In recent outings, Omiya Ardija has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

JEF United is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

JEF United could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, JEF United has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Omiya Ardija has recorded 0 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:13 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Omiya Ardija against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	JEF United W	6	4	0	1	13:8	5	14
4	Omiya Ardija W	6	3	0	1	11:8	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omiya Ardija Women
Japan WE League Cup Women
23.09.26	Omiya Ardija - MyNavi Sendai	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Omiya Ardija - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
Japan WE League Women
05.09.26	Omiya Ardija - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Omiya Ardija	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWWWL
- JEF United Chiba Women
Japan WE League Cup Women
23.09.26	JEF United Chiba - INAC Kobe Leonessa	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	JEF United Chiba - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:2 ✺
Japan WE League Women
05.09.26	JEF United Chiba - MyNavi Sendai	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Cerezo Osaka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan WE League Women
10.05.26	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	1:1
17.08.25	JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija	1:1
05.05.25	JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija	2:2
30.11.24	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	0:1
21.04.24	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	0:0
08.03.24	JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija	1:1
27.05.23	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	2:4

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