Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:00	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Bolivia	20:00	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	21:00	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	21:00	Chilevision, ESPN
Colombia	19:00	Caracol TV, RCN Television
Croatia	02:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	19:00	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol
France	02:00	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Guatemala	18:00	Tigo Sports
India	05:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	07:00	Vidio
Israel	03:00	Sport 4
Malaysia	08:00	Astro Go, Astro SuperSport 3, Sooka
Norway	02:00	VG+
Paraguay	21:00	GEN
Peru	19:00	Movistar App, Movistar Deportes
Poland	02:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	01:00	Sport TV1
Russia	03:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	03:00	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports 5
Serbia	02:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	02:00	Arena Sport 1
Spain	02:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Ukraine	03:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	21:00	AUFTV, Cardinal TV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Venezuela	20:00	BYM Sports, Inter, Simple Plus, Simple, Venevision
International	00:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz, Onefootball app


	Chile		Brazil

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.7	1.57	Watch
	6.25	3.6	1.6
	6.5	3.75	1.62
	6.8	3.83	1.59
	7.1	3.89	1.53	Watch
	5.8	3.7	1.57
	6.79	3.73	1.57	Watch
	6.5	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.53 ↑ (6.4)	3.74 ↓ (4.13)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chile
14.6%

Draw
25.4%

Brazil
60%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15%

23.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Brazil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	21.6%	67.6%

Chile - Brazil Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Chile will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Brazil will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brazil: 54.3% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cortes B. (G) Colo Colo 14. Loyola F. Independiente 19. Kuscevic B. Fortaleza 3. Maripan G. (C) Torino 6. Galdames T. Krylya Sovetov Samara 15. Valdes D. Club America 17. Pavez E. Colo Colo 18. Echeverria R. Huracan 8. Osorio D. Midtjylland 10. Davila V. Club America 11. Eduardo Vargas Atletico-MG	23. Ederson (G) Manchester City 2. Danilo (C) Juventus 4. Marquinhos PSG 14. Gabriel Arsenal 16. Abnner Oliveira EC Sao Jose (PA) 18. Andre Wolves 8. Paqueta L. West Ham 20. Savinho Manchester City 10. Rodrygo Real Madrid 11. Raphinha Barcelona 19. da Cruz I. Botafogo RJ
Substitutes
20. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. Huracan 21. Cabral L. Club Leon 9. Carlos Palacios Colo Colo 5. Cepeda L. Colo Colo 13. Guerrero Pena M. G. U. De Chile 4. Hormazabal F. U. De Chile 2. Morales M. U. De Chile 12. Reyes V. (G) Cambridge Utd 7. Tapia G. U. Catolica 1. Vigouroux L. (G) Swansea 22. Zaldivia M. U. De Chile	12. Bento (G) Al Nassr 17. Beraldo L. PSG 9. Endrick Real Madrid 3. Fabricio Bruno Flamengo RJ 15. Gerson Flamengo RJ 5. Guimaraes B. Newcastle Utd 21. Luiz Henrique Botafogo RJ 22. Martinelli G. Arsenal 7. Pereira A. Fulham 6. Telles A. Botafogo RJ 13. Vanderson Monaco 1. Weverton (G) Palmeiras
Coaches
Gareca R.	Junior D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Eduardo Vargas ⚽, Loyola F. (A),
3', Paqueta L. 🟨,
40', Galdames T. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, da Cruz I. ⚽, Savinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Andre ↓, Guimaraes B. ↑,
46', Paqueta L. ↓, Gerson ↑,
59', Davila V. ↓, Cepeda L. ↑,
62', Danilo 🟨,
65', Galdames T. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
68', Savinho ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
72', Loyola F. 🟨,
76', Pavez E. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
76', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Carlos Palacios ↑,
76', Valdes D. ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
76', da Cruz I. ↓, Endrick ↑,
85', Abner ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Luiz Henrique ⚽, Guimaraes B. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chile won 1.

In this match Brazil is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chile won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6:16 (average 0.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chile
FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Chile - Bolivia	1:2 ✺
05.09.24	Argentina - Chile	3:0 ✺
Copa America
29.06.24	Canada - Chile	0:0 ✺
25.06.24	Chile - Argentina	0:1 ✺
21.06.24	Peru - Chile	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT
- Brazil
FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Brazil - Ecuador	1:0 ✺
Copa America
06.07.24	Uruguay - Brazil	1:0 penalties ✺
02.07.24	Brazil - Colombia	1:1 ✺
28.06.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
24.03.22	Brazil - Chile	4:0
02.09.21	Chile - Brazil	0:1
Copa America
02.07.21	Brazil - Chile	1:0
FIFA World Cup
10.10.17	Brazil - Chile	3:0
08.10.15	Chile - Brazil	2:0
Friendly
29.03.15	Brazil - Chile	1:0
FIFA World Cup
28.06.14	Brazil - Chile	2:1 penalties

Chile - Brazil