Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa América - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allegiant Stadium (Paradise, NV) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	05:30	Solh TV
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 1
Albania	03:00	MCN TV
Australia	11:00	Optus Sport
Bangladesh	07:00	T Sports
Bolivia	21:00	Comteco, Coteor, Inter Satelital, Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	03:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	22:00	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Rede Globo, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	04:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	21:00	RDS 1, RDS 2, TSN 4, TSN 5, TSN+
China	09:00	CCTV-5, QQ Sports
Costa Rica	19:00	Canal 6, TDMAX
Croatia	03:00	Arena Sport 1
Cuba	21:00	Tele Rebelde
Denmark	03:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
El Salvador	19:00	Canal 4, TCS GO
Fiji	13:00	FBC Sports
Finland	04:00	Elisa Viihde, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	03:00	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	03:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	04:00	ANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece
Guatemala	19:00	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	19:00	Canal 11
Hungary	03:00	Arena 4
Iceland	01:00	Viaplay
India	06:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	08:00	Indosiar, Vidio
Ireland	02:00	Premier Sports 1
Israel	04:00	Sport 2
Italy	03:00	Mola TV, Sportitalia
Kazakhstan	07:00	Qazsport
Malaysia	09:00	Astro Go, Astro SuperSport 4, Sooka
Mexico	19:00	Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN
Montenegro	03:00	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	03:00	Viaplay
North Macedonia	03:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	03:00	Viaplay
Paraguay	21:00	Tigo Sports
Poland	03:00	Viaplay
Portugal	02:00	Sport TV1, Sport TV2
Russia	04:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	03:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	03:00	STVR Sport
Slovenia	03:00	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	10:00	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	03:00	3Cat, Movistar Plus+ 1, TV3
Sweden	03:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Tajikistan	06:00	Varzish Sport
Turkey	04:00	Exxen
Ukraine	04:00	MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	02:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	22:00	Antel TV, AUFTV, NS Eventos
Usa	21:00	Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, FuboTV, SiriusXM FC, TUDN, Univision
International	01:00	Amazon Prime Video, DirecTV Sports, MEGOGO Futbol 1


	Uruguay		Brazil

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.63	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.65
	3.1	2.82	2.7	Watch
	3.2	2.86	2.75
	3.17	2.79	2.65	Watch
	3	2.88	2.62	Watch
	3.16	2.93	2.68	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.78)	2.85 ↓ (3.27)	2.65 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa America with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FS1, TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay
30.5%

Draw
33.5%

Brazil
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Brazil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brazil than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	57.9%	21.1%

Uruguay - Brazil Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Uruguay will win (votes: 12 - 21.1%). Brazil will win (votes: 12 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 33 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) Internacional 8. Nandez N. Al Qadisiya 4. Araujo R. Barcelona 16. Olivera M. Napoli 17. Vina M. Flamengo RJ 15. Valverde F. (C) Real Madrid 5. Ugarte M. PSG 7. de la Cruz N. Flamengo RJ 11. Pellistri F. Manchester United 19. Nunez D. Liverpool 20. Araujo M. Toluca	1. Alisson (G) Liverpool 2. Danilo (C) Juventus 3. Militao E. Real Madrid 4. Marquinhos PSG 16. Guilherme Arana Atletico-MG 5. Guimaraes B. Newcastle Utd 15. Gomes J. Wolves 11. Raphinha Barcelona 8. Paqueta L. West Ham 10. Rodrygo Real Madrid 9. Endrick Palmeiras
Substitutes
6. Bentancur R. Tottenham 3. Caceres S. Club America 14. Canobbio A. Athletico-PR 10. de Arrascaeta G. Flamengo RJ 2. Gimenez J. M. Atl. Madrid 12. Israel F. (G) Sporting Lisbon 22. Marichal N. Dynamo Moscow 21. Martinez E. Midtjylland 23. Mele S. (G) Plaza Colonia 26. Ocampo B. Cadiz 24. Olaza L. Krasnodar 25. Olivera C. Los Angeles FC 18. Rodriguez B. Club America 9. Suarez L. Inter Miami 13. Varela G. Flamengo RJ	12. Bento (G) Athletico-PR 17. Beraldo L. PSG 25. Bremer Juventus 13. Couto Y. Manchester City 18. Douglas Luiz Juventus 24. Ederson Atalanta 21. Evanilson FC Porto 14. Gabriel Arsenal 22. Martinelli G. Arsenal 26. Pepê FC Porto 19. Pereira A. Fulham 23. Rafael (G) Sao Paulo 20. Savio Troyes 6. Wendell FC Porto
Coaches
Bielsa M.	Junior D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Araujo R. ↓, Gimenez J. M. ↑,
39', Paqueta L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vina M. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
51', Ugarte M. 🟨,
60', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
64', Gomes J. 🟨,
66', de la Cruz N. ↓, Bentancur R. ↑,
74', Nandez N. 🟥,
77', Pellistri F. ↓, Varela G. ↑,
78', Nunez D. ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
81', Paqueta L. ↓, Douglas Luiz ↑,
82', Raphinha ↓, Savio ↑,
82', Gomes J. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
87', Rodrygo ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
87', Guimaraes B. ↓, Evanilson ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Valverde F. (Pen),
1, Militao E. (Pen),
2, Bentancur R. (Pen),
2, Pereira A. (Pen),
3, de Arrascaeta G. (Pen),
3, Douglas Luiz (Pen),
4, Gimenez J. M. (Pen),
4, Martinelli G. (Pen),
5, Ugarte M. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uruguay won 1.

Uruguay in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brazil is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Uruguay: Olivera C. (International duty)

There will not play in Brazil: Vinicius Junior (Yellow Cards)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Uruguay won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay
Copa America
01.07.24	USA - Uruguay	0:1 ✺
27.06.24	Uruguay - Bolivia	5:0 ✺
23.06.24	Uruguay - Panama	3:1 ✺
Friendly
05.06.24	Mexico - Uruguay	0:4 ✺
31.05.24	Costa Rica - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWT
- Brazil
Copa America
02.07.24	Brazil - Colombia	1:1 ✺
28.06.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:4 ✺
24.06.24	Brazil - Costa Rica	0:0 ✺
Friendly
12.06.24	USA - Brazil	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Mexico - Brazil	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
17.10.23	Uruguay - Brazil	2:0
14.10.21	Brazil - Uruguay	4:1
17.11.20	Uruguay - Brazil	0:2
Friendly
16.11.18	Brazil - Uruguay	1:0
FIFA World Cup
23.03.17	Uruguay - Brazil	1:4
25.03.16	Brazil - Uruguay	2:2
FIFA Confederations Cup
26.06.13	Brazil - Uruguay	2:1

Uruguay - Brazil