Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Premier League - Round 27

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Sisa Dukashe Stadium (Mdantsane)


	Chippa United		Moroka Swallows

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.31	2.95	3.61
	2.31	2.95	3.61
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.24	2.95	3.41
	2.17	2.95	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.98)	2.97 ↓ (3.09)	3.45 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippa United
41.8%

Draw
31.3%

Moroka Swallows
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.9%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Moroka Swallows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippa United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chippa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Chippa United - Moroka Swallows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Johnson D. (G) 4. Makhele T. 14. Kwayiba S. 19. Majogoro B. 6. Poggenpoel B. 41. Eva Nga B. 29. Nhlapo S. 11. Maarman R. 26. Francis K. 3. Ntsabo A. 18. Moloa T.	16. Akpeyi D. (C) 25. Maponya T. 45. Mngonyama K. 50. Nyauza N. 77. Ngqonga N. 28. Sanou R. 8. Phalane L. 37. Everson J. 19. Falakhe T. 80. Mahlonoko A. 11. Mhango G.
Substitutes
36. Bonani A. 8. Kambindu E. 13. Luthuli S. 98. Mahlatsi K. 10. Memela L. 45. Mqokozo A. 99. Mthembu S. 32. Nwabali S. (G) 22. Tyongwana P.	21. Khumalo S. P. 33. Khupe G. 29. Koapeng L. 30. Mbanjwa L. 31. Mbanjwa T. (G) 36. Mphahlele M. 6. Mthethwa T. 17. Rampa M. 2. Sibiya S.
Coaches
September T.	Kapowezha E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Francis K. ⚽, Eva Nga B. (A),
22', Majogoro B. 🟨,
35', Poggenpoel B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Majogoro B. ↓, Memela L. ↑,
46', Maponya T. ↓, Mphahlele M. ↑,
46', Mahlonoko A. ↓, Mbanjwa L. ↑,
56', Mhango G. 🟨,
63', Maarman R. ↓, Mahlatsi K. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Mhango G. ⚽,
73', Ntsabo A. 🟨,
76', Eva Nga B. ↓, Kambindu E. ↑,
76', Everson J. ↓, Koapeng L. ↑,
90+2', Mhango G. ↓, Sibiya S. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Mbanjwa L. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chippa United won 0.

Chippa United is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Moroka Swallows is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moroka Swallows could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chippa United will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Chippa United won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Chippa United won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippa United
South African Premier Soccer League
27.04.24	AmaZulu - Chippa United	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Supersport United - Chippa United	0:2 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
14.04.24	TS Galaxy - Chippa United	0:2 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
06.04.24	Chippa United - Kaizer Chiefs	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Chippa United - Cape Town Spurs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWWW
- Moroka Swallows
South African Premier Soccer League
26.04.24	TS Galaxy - Moroka Swallows	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Richards Bay - Moroka Swallows	1:0 ✺
03.04.24	Moroka Swallows - Orlando Pirates	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Cape Town Spurs - Moroka Swallows	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
04.10.23	Moroka Swallows - Chippa United	0:0
26.02.23	Chippa United - Moroka Swallows	1:2
06.01.23	Moroka Swallows - Chippa United	2:0
14.05.22	Moroka Swallows - Chippa United	0:0
24.10.21	Chippa United - Moroka Swallows	0:0
20.03.21	Chippa United - Moroka Swallows	2:2
20.01.21	Moroka Swallows - Chippa United	1:1

Chippa United - Moroka Swallows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide