Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.10	2.75
	2.25	3.25	2.7
	2.3	3.28	2.84
	2.34	3.37	2.89	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.36	3.56	2.75
	2.3	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.39)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.78 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
39.6%

Draw
27.6%

Berkhamsted
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.7%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Chippenham Town - Berkhamsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Richards-Everton B. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Lacey J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 1 - 2, Lewis R. ⚽,

Preview

Chippenham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Berkhamsted is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Berkhamsted has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	11:14	-3	13
20	Chippenham	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 37.93%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Berkhamsted - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English Southern League South Division
22.08.26	Chichester City - Chippenham Town	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Chippenham Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:2 ✺
11.08.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Swindon Town - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	Paulton Rovers - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 49.4 LWTWW
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
22.08.26	Berkhamsted - Poole Town	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Taunton Town - Berkhamsted	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Chertsey Town - Berkhamsted	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Bedford Town - Berkhamsted	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Ware - Berkhamsted	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

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