Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Chippenham Town		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.55
	2.37	3.60	2.75
	2.05	3.45	2.95
	2.21	3.58	2.64
	2.28	3.87	2.69	Watch
	2.18	3.50	2.60
	2.39	3.74	2.60	Watch
	2.30	3.60	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.44)	3.61 ↓ (3.7)	2.67 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
40.4%

Draw
25.4%

Yate Town
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

24.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+4%)

Chippenham Town - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
Extra Time (1 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Replay (first match was draw).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Yate could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Chippenham has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Chippenham has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chippenham against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Yate Town - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English FA Cup
18.09.26	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Bath City - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Chippenham Town	1:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Malvern Town - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Chippenham Town - Berkhamsted	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWWL
- Yate Town
English FA Cup
18.09.26	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Yate Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
18.09.26	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:0
English Southern League South Division
11.08.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	1:1
Club Friendly
10.07.23	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:1
English FA Cup
14.09.13	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	3:2

Chippenham Town - Yate Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide