Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Chisola		Derthona

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.65	5.15
	1.56	3.7	5.3
	1.67	3.58	4.79	Watch
	1.54	3.64	5.72
	1.55	3.66	5.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	3.65 ↓ (3.73)	5.3 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chisola
57.9%

Draw
25%

Derthona
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chisola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chisola than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Chisola - Derthona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Chisola is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Derthona's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Derthona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chisola is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chisola won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chisola won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chisola Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Asti - Chisola	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.10.25	Asti - Chisola	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Chisola - Unione Sanremo	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Biellese - Chisola	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Chisola - NovaRomentin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWTW
- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.10.25	Derthona - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Valenzana Mado - Derthona	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Derthona - Ligorna	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Vado - Derthona	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Derthona - Sestri Levante	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
19.01.25	Chisola - Derthona	1:1
31.01.24	Chisola - Derthona	3:0
04.10.23	Derthona - Chisola	2:1
19.03.23	Derthona - Chisola	1:2
13.11.22	Chisola - Derthona	2:3

Chisola - Derthona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide