The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chisola 44.5%
Draw 28.1%
Derthona 27.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.1%
28.3%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
29.5%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chisola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chisola than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Chisola - Derthona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, ⚽,
39', 3 - 1, ⚽,
44', 4 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group A Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chisola won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chisola holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Chisola has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:8 (averaging 1.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chisola against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 9:5 goals (averaging 2.3:1.3 per game).