Match Info

Date: 19 October 2021, Tuesday


	Chita		Zenit 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.2	2.85	2.14
	3.35	2.91	2.13
	3.54	3.2	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.91)	3.09 ↑ (2.96)	2.09 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chita
27.4%

Draw
29.3%

Zenit 2
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

30.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

22.6%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Zenit 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chita than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit 2 than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zenit 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chita - Zenit 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Relegation).

Chita is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zenit 2 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zenit 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chita won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Chita won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chita
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
14.10.21	Luki-Energiya - Chita	0:1 ✺
10.10.21	Baltika 2 - Chita	1:0 ✺
30.09.21	Chita - Leningradets	2:2 ✺
26.09.21	Chita - Volga Tver	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Chita - Krasava Odintsovo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTLL
- Zenit 2 St Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
14.10.21	Zenit 2 - Krasava Odintsovo	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Kairat Moscow - Zenit 2	3:0 ✺
04.10.21	Zenit 2 - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	1:2 ✺
30.09.21	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Zenit 2	3:0 ✺
18.09.21	Zenit 2 - Baltika 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
28.08.21	Zenit 2 - Chita	4:0
14.04.21	Chita - Zenit 2	1:1
09.10.20	Zenit 2 - Chita	3:0

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