Match Info

Date: 14 October 2021, Thursday


	Luki-Energiya		Chita

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.35	1.86
	3.75	3.15	1.83
	3.47	3.28	1.93
	3.82	3.34	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (1.81)	3.28 ↑ (3.24)	1.88 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luki-Energiya
24.6%

Draw
27.5%

Chita
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

20.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luki-Energiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luki-Energiya's form might have worsened.

Chita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chita's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (+38.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luki-Energiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chita than the current prediction. (-28.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	20%	46.7%

Luki Energiya - Chita Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Luki-Energiya will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Chita will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chita: 28.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Luki-Energiya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Chita have a series of home games.

Luki-Energiya will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luki-Energiya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Luki-Energiya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
10.10.21	Luki-Energiya - Krasava Odintsovo	0:4 ✺
04.10.21	Luki-Energiya - Kairat Moscow	0:0 ✺
30.09.21	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Luki-Energiya	4:0 ✺
14.09.21	Baltika 2 - Luki-Energiya	1:2 ✺
04.09.21	Leningradets - Luki-Energiya	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLWL
- FC Chita
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
10.10.21	Baltika 2 - Chita	1:0 ✺
30.09.21	Chita - Leningradets	2:2 ✺
26.09.21	Chita - Volga Tver	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Chita - Krasava Odintsovo	1:2 ✺
14.09.21	Chita - Kairat Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
11.05.21	Chita - Luki-Energiya	2:0
09.09.20	Luki-Energiya - Chita	3:0

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