Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Choco		Alondras

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.8	2.55
	2.63	2.7	2.5
	2.68	2.84	2.63
	2.7	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.65)	2.81 (2.81)	2.57 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Choco
33.5%

Draw
31.8%

Alondras
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

31.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Choco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choco than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Choco - Alondras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Choco won 2.

Recent matches Choco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alondras is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Choco won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Choco won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.02.23	Choco - Atlético Arteixo	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Silva SD - Choco	1:3 ✺
22.01.23	Choco - Gran Peña	2:3 ✺
15.01.23	Viveiro - Choco	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Choco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWLTT
- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.02.23	Alondras - Arosa	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Atlético Arteixo - Alondras	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Alondras - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Silva SD - Alondras	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Paiosaco - Alondras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.10.22	Alondras - Choco	2:1
05.03.22	Choco - Alondras	1:1
31.10.21	Alondras - Choco	0:1
07.03.21	Alondras - Choco	2:1
15.12.19	Choco - Alondras	6:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
10.02.18	Alondras - Choco	2:0
24.09.17	Choco - Alondras	1:1

Choco - Alondras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide