Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Alondras		Arosa

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.18	3.45
	2.57	2.98	2.81	Watch
	2.25	3.08	3.03
	1.86	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.92)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	3.3 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alondras
42.3%

Draw
29.6%

Arosa
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alondras's form might have worsened.

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Alondras - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Concheiro A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alondras won 1.

Arosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alondras is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alondras won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alondras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.09.25	Atlético Arteixo - Alondras	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Alondras - Noia	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	RC Villalbes - Alondras	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Arosa - Alondras	3:3 ✺
03.05.25	Alondras - Atlético Arteixo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWTT
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Arosa - Lugo B	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Gran Peña - Arosa	2:2 ✺
07.09.25	Arosa - Silva SD	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.25	Arosa - Bergantiños	1:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.05.25	Arosa - Alondras	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.05.25	Arosa - Alondras	3:3
12.01.25	Alondras - Arosa	2:0
28.04.24	Arosa - Alondras	1:1
17.12.23	Alondras - Arosa	1:1
05.02.23	Alondras - Arosa	0:2
02.10.22	Arosa - Alondras	0:0
28.03.21	Arosa - Alondras	0:0

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