Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 8 December 2022, Thursday


	Choco		Arosa

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	1.85
	3.5	2.9	1.93
	3.85	3.25	1.84
	4.03	3.28	1.79
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.98	3.42	1.8
	4	3.3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (5.9)	3.19 ↓ (4.21)	1.87 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Choco
23.7%

Draw
28.2%

Arosa
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

21.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

20.2%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Choco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Choco's performance.

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choco than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Choco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Choco - Arosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Choco will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Arosa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs)).

Choco has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arosa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Arosa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arosa to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Choco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Choco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
03.12.22	Deportivo A Coruña B - Choco	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	Choco - Paiosaco	1:3 ✺
20.11.22	Barco - Choco	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Choco - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Somozas - Choco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
04.12.22	Arosa - Atlético Arteixo	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	Silva SD - Arosa	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Arosa - Gran Peña	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Viveiro - Arosa	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Arosa - Rápido de Bouzas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.02.21	Choco - Arosa	2:2
25.11.18	Choco - Arosa	1:0

Upcoming Matches