Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Arosa		Rápido de Bouzas

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.2
	1.72	3.4	4.5
	1.74	3.2	4.58
	1.7	3.35	4.77
	1.72	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.59)	3.33 ↓ (3.75)	4.51 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arosa
52.7%

Draw
27.2%

Rápido de Bouzas
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Rápido de Bouzas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rápido de Bouzas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rápido de Bouzas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arosa is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arosa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arosa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.01.24	Arosa - Viveiro	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Atlético Arteixo - Arosa	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Arosa - Somozas	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Alondras - Arosa	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.23	Arosa - Valencia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWTL
- Rápido de Bouzas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.01.24	Sarriana - Rápido de Bouzas	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Rápido de Bouzas - Betanzos	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Silva SD - Rápido de Bouzas	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Estradense	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	Polvorín - Rápido de Bouzas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.09.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Arosa	2:1
25.02.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Arosa	1:1
29.10.22	Arosa - Rápido de Bouzas	0:0
06.03.21	Arosa - Rápido de Bouzas	2:0
12.01.20	Rápido de Bouzas - Arosa	2:2

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