Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 10

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stade Pierre Blouen (Cholet)


	Cholet		Orleans

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	2.83	3	2.81
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.66	3.06	2.64	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.29)	3 ↓ (3.05)	2.65 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet
34.6%

Draw
30.7%

Orleans
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

29.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cholet's form might have worsened.

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cholet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orleans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	33.3%	40%

Cholet - Orleans Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cholet will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Orleans will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orleans: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ba O. (G) 27. Drame I. 23. Experience M. 12. Jarju Y. 26. Misiatu S. 15. Monzango N. 35. Quarshie J. 6. Renaud T. 25. Robinand J. 4. Seba D. 7. Sidibe M.	1. Viot V. (G) 25. Bretelle L. 13. Fortune K. 15. Goujon L. 22. Halby J. 8. Marcel V. 4. Morgan J. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 27. Santini J. 3. Solvet S. 26. Vula A.
Substitutes
10. Abdeldjelil O. 14. Cisse M. 17. Gameiro A. 8. Injai F. 5. Zekovic B.	10. Dabasse A. 17. Etoughe P. 6. Niakate A. 20. Ponti R. 7. Soumare Y.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cholet won 1.

Cholet is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Orleans is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cholet won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cholet won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
07.10.23	Versailles - Cholet	3:2 ✺
29.09.23	Cholet - Nîmes	0:2 ✺
22.09.23	Dijon - Cholet	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	Cholet - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	0:1 ✺
08.09.23	Niort - Cholet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLL
- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
06.10.23	Orleans - Nancy	1:0 ✺
29.09.23	Villefranche - Orleans	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Orleans - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
15.09.23	Avranches - Orleans	1:1 ✺
11.09.23	Orleans - Le Mans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
17.02.23	Orleans - Cholet	2:0
09.09.22	Cholet - Orleans	1:1
18.03.22	Orleans - Cholet	0:0
08.10.21	Cholet - Orleans	3:1
27.02.21	Orleans - Cholet	1:0
25.09.20	Cholet - Orleans	2:1

Cholet - Orleans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide