Match Info

National - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Source (Orléans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Orleans		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	2.85	3	2.5
	2.83	2.98	2.51	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.45
	2.94	2.9	2.52	Watch
	2.85	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.83)	2.96 ↓ (3.01)	2.48 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orleans
32.2%

Draw
30.9%

Le Mans
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.6%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30.6%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Le Mans have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Le Mans aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Orleans - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Orleans (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Le Mans (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viot V. (G) 3. Baudry M. 11. Berthier G. 9. El Khoumisti F. 8. Giraudon J. 15. Goujon L. 22. Halby J. 4. Jean-Pierre M. 10. Khous G. 28. Sanchez Da Silva F. 21. Theresin V.	16. Kocik N. (G) 3. Burlet V. 21. Eyoum T. 8. Lauray A. 34. Matumona J. 6. Quarshie E. 9. Rabillard A. 27. Rossignol M. 5. Voyer H. 15. Vula A. 17. Yohou S.
Substitutes
6. D'Arpino M. 7. Iva T. 33. Lallias A. 20. Ponti R. 12. Testud K.	33. Bernardeau G. 25. Gueye D. 18. Lamgahez Z. 26. Oggad B. 29. Oudjani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Giraudon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Vula A. ⚽, Rabillard A. (A),
54', Berthier G. 🟨,
57', Berthier G. ↓, Testud K. ↑,
58', Halby J. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Sanchez Da Silva F. ⚽,
68', Halby J. ↓, Iva T. ↑,
68', Jean-Pierre M. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
69', Voyer H. 🟨,
69', Rabillard A. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
74', Quarshie E. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Gueye D. ⚽, Voyer H. (A),
80', Rossignol M. ↓, Lamgahez Z. ↑,
81', Vula A. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
81', Theresin V. ↓, Lallias A. ↑,
90+5', El Khoumisti F. (Pen),
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orleans won 3.

Recent matches Orleans is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Mans is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Orleans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Le Mans have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Orleans: Bretelle L. (Inactive) Camara M. (Injury) D'Arpino M. (Inactive) Ponti R. (Ankle Injury) Sila K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E. (Back Injury) Ribelin A. (Inactive)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Orleans won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Orleans won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
28.03.25	Orleans - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
21.03.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Orleans	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Orleans - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Dijon - Orleans	2:2 ✺
28.02.25	Orleans - Sochaux	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTTTW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
04.04.25	Le Mans - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Nancy - Le Mans	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Le Mans - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Le Mans - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Le Mans - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
22.11.24	Le Mans - Orleans	0:2
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Orleans - Le Mans	2:0
French Ligue 3
16.02.24	Le Mans - Orleans	0:1
11.09.23	Orleans - Le Mans	1:3
10.05.23	Orleans - Le Mans	0:1
16.12.22	Le Mans - Orleans	2:0
01.04.22	Orleans - Le Mans	2:1

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