Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Chonburi		Chiangrai United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	2	3.61	3.96
	1.97	3.59	3.37	Watch
	1.92	3.34	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.77)	3.46 ↑ (3.43)	3.58 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chonburi
47.3%

Draw
26.8%

Chiangrai United
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Chiangrai United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chonburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Chonburi - Chiangrai United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Chonburi (1.65) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chonburi (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) 2. Kike Linares 47. Jorge Fellipe (C) 14. Tabinas J. 88. Queven 31. Seaisakul P. 32. Moraksa R. 4. Sansanit K. 23. Channgom S. 17. Bolingi J. 9. Kraisorn A.	1. Worawong A. (G) 4. Phanichakul P. 23. Victor Cardozo 28. Helio 5. Ballini M. 98. Gabriel Henrique 32. Promsawat M. 17. Verzura G. (C) 55. Pimoytha T. 11. Iury C. 9. Enomoto I.
Substitutes
13. Ablorh L. 30. Biesamrit N. 20. Bunta S. 11. Eisa A. 7. Houla G. 87. Panthong T. (G) 10. Promsrikaew C. 37. Sayriya N. 36. Sujarit T. 80. Tapsuvanavon C. 6. Thongcham S. 99. van Lingen O.	10. Dudu 92. Inprakhon T. 20. Jaihan T. 8. Lee S. 37. Phoptham P. 2. Phrmanee B. 39. Phutonyong C. 18. Prachuabmon C. 3. Srisai T. 6. Suvannaseat S. 34. Wongruankhum S. (G) 24. Yaemsaen S.
Coaches
Eksatra N.	Yodyardthai S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Promsawat M. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Pimoytha T. ⚽, Phanichakul P. (A),
37', Phanichakul P. 🟥,
38', Sansanit K. 🟨,
40', Kike Linares 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Seaisakul P. ↓, Promsrikaew C. ↑,
46', Tabinas J. ↓, Eisa A. ↑,
46', Kraisorn A. ↓, van Lingen O. ↑,
60', Promsrikaew C. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Pimoytha T. (Own goal),
67', Promsawat M. ↓, Suvannaseat S. ↑,
82', Moraksa R. ↓, Biesamrit N. ↑,
85', Queven ↓, Houla G. ↑,
89', Iury C. ↓, Phutonyong C. ↑,
90+2', Worawong A. 🟨,
90+5', Enomoto I. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', Enomoto I. ↓, Lee S. ↑,
90+7', Helio ↓, Yaemsaen S. ↑,
90+7', Pimoytha T. ↓, Inprakhon T. ↑,
90+8', Biesamrit N. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 1.

Chonburi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Chiangrai United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chonburi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chonburi won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chonburi FC
Thai League 1
04.10.25	Uthai Thani - Chonburi	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Chonburi - Prachuap	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Thai Port - Chonburi	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Chonburi - Bangkok United	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Lamphun Warriors - Chonburi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLT
- Chiangrai United
Thai League 1
04.10.25	Chiangrai United - Rayong FC	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Sukhothai - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Chiangrai United - Pathum United	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ayutthaya United - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Chiangrai United - Buriram United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
03.04.24	Chonburi - Chiangrai United	2:0
28.10.23	Chiangrai United - Chonburi	1:1
09.04.23	Chonburi - Chiangrai United	1:3
05.11.22	Chiangrai United - Chonburi	1:1
06.02.22	Chiangrai United - Chonburi	1:0
01.10.21	Chonburi - Chiangrai United	2:3
Thai FA Cup
11.04.21	Chiangrai United - Chonburi	2:1 penalties

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