Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Chonburi		Prachuap

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.45	2.82
	2.25	3.66	2.99
	25.00	6.23	1.12	Watch
	2.17	3.4	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.89 ↑ (1.95)	4.19 ↑ (3.61)	2.46 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chonburi
16.4%

Draw
30.9%

Prachuap
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chonburi's form might have worsened.

Prachuap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Prachuap's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+32.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chonburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prachuap than the current prediction. (-26.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Prachuap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chonburi - Prachuap Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Prachuap (1.93) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Prachuap (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) 2. Kike Linares 37. Sayriya N. 47. Jorge Fellipe 4. Sansanit K. 32. Moraksa R. 9. Kraisorn A. 17. Bolingi J. 10. Promsrikaew C. (C) 13. Ablorh L. 36. Sujarit T.	39. Srathongjan W. (G) 88. Phasukihan J. (C) 15. Nyholm J. 5. Tirabassi A. 3. Vilar B. 67. Taylor N. 40. Veerachart C. 23. Thawornsak K. 10. Taua 90. Rodrigo Dias 20. Michel Lima
Substitutes
30. Biesamrit N. 20. Bunta S. 23. Channgom S. 11. Eisa A. 7. Houla G. 46. Kadtoon N. (G) 88. Queven 31. Seaisakul P. 80. Tapsuvanavon C. 6. Thongcham S. 99. van Lingen O. 21. Wandee S.	66. Choosong W. 94. Habran R. 70. Jantum P. 74. Jensen P. 8. Kanyaroj S. 17. Mendez E. 41. Praphanth P. 11. Sanron I. 1. Songsangchan R. (G) 4. Ugelvik A. 30. Wasungnoen J.
Coaches
Po-On T.	Pobprasert S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Moraksa R. 🟨,
61', Sujarit T. ↓, Tapsuvanavon C. ↑,
62', Moraksa R. ↓, Channgom S. ↑,
67', Taylor N. 🟨,
69', Kike Linares ↓, Thongcham S. ↑,
69', Kraisorn A. ↓, van Lingen O. ↑,
72', Tapsuvanavon C. 🟨,
73', Promsrikaew C. ↓, Queven ↑,
74', Taua ↓, Jantum P. ↑,
77', Veerachart C. 🟨,
77', Rodrigo Dias ↓, Habran R. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Jantum P. ⚽, Michel Lima (A),
86', 1 - 1, Jorge Fellipe ⚽,
90', Phasukihan J. ↓, Choosong W. ↑,
90', Veerachart C. ↓, Jensen P. ↑,
90', Michel Lima ↓, Ugelvik A. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 1.

Recent form of Chonburi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Prachuap has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Prachuap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chonburi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chonburi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chonburi FC
Thai League 1
19.09.25	Thai Port - Chonburi	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Chonburi - Bangkok United	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Lamphun Warriors - Chonburi	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Chonburi - Ratchaburi	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chonburi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLT
- Prachuap FC
Thai League 1
20.09.25	Prachuap - Kanchanaburi	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Buriram United - Prachuap	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Prachuap - Sukhothai	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chiangrai United - Prachuap	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Prachuap - Pathum United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
12.05.24	Chonburi - Prachuap	1:1
15.12.23	Prachuap - Chonburi	3:1
11.02.23	Prachuap - Chonburi	3:1
10.09.22	Chonburi - Prachuap	1:0
Thai League Cup
25.05.22	Chonburi - Prachuap	0:1
Thai League 1
10.04.22	Chonburi - Prachuap	2:1
10.11.21	Prachuap - Chonburi	1:2

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