Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 30

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Chonburi		Nakhon Ratchasima

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.09	3.9	3.13
	2.03	3.64	3.12	Watch
	2	3.3	3
	2.07	3.77	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.78)	3.63 ↓ (3.94)	3.13 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chonburi
45.2%

Draw
25.3%

Nakhon Ratchasima
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

23.3%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

23.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chonburi's form might have worsened.

Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chonburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Chonburi - Nakhon Ratchasima Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Nakhon Ratchasima (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) 23. Channgom S. 2. Kike Linares 47. Jorge Fellipe (C) 14. Tabinas J. 80. Tapsuvanavon C. 11. Eisa A. 8. Burapha Y. 32. Moraksa R. 4. Sansanit K. 99. van Lingen O.	18. Lakhonphon N. (G) 7. Win Hein Phyo 39. Nuengprakaew W. 2. Inpaen S. 35. Wendel 33. Charalampous C. 5. Becerra J. 22. Hanrattana P. 4. James L. 14. Mita H. 23. Dennis Murillo (C)
Substitutes
30. Biesamrit N. 20. Bunta S. 46. Kadtoon N. (G) 9. Kraisorn A. 87. Panthong T. (G) 88. Queven 3. Rueangthanarot C. 37. Sayriya N. 31. Seaisakul P. 36. Sujarit T. 21. Wandee S.	19. Bangsungnoen R. 6. Gallagher J. 21. Jaroenbut N. 17. Mungdee A. 36. Noorach T. (G) 47. Phetnok N. 30. Prempree P.
Coaches
Viwatchaichok R.	Kongthep S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Win Hein Phyo ↓, Bangsungnoen R. ↑,
32', Kike Linares 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Hanrattana P. ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
60', Eisa A. ↓, Queven ↑,
63', Bangsungnoen R. 🟨,
68', Inpaen S. 🟨,
73', Becerra J. ↓, Jaroenbut N. ↑,
73', Charalampous C. ↓, Phetnok N. ↑,
75', Sansanit K. ↓, Bunta S. ↑,
75', Channgom S. ↓, Sujarit T. ↑,
83', Moraksa R. ↓, Biesamrit N. ↑,
83', Tapsuvanavon C. ↓, Rueangthanarot C. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Mungdee A. ⚽, Dennis Murillo (A),
90+2', 1 - 1, Burapha Y. ⚽, Bunta S. (A),
90+4', 2 - 1, Jorge Fellipe ⚽, Rueangthanarot C. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chonburi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chonburi is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chonburi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Chonburi	3	0	0	3	2:5	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chonburi FC
Thai League 1
02.05.26	Kanchanaburi - Chonburi	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Chonburi - Muangthong United	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Prachuap - Chonburi	2:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
08.04.26	Chonburi - Thai Port	3:4 ✺
Thai League 1
05.04.26	Chonburi - Rayong FC	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLLW
- Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thai League 1
02.05.26	Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Nakhon Ratchasima - Bangkok United	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Nakhon Ratchasima - Uthai Thani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
16.08.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chonburi	0:0
Thai FA Cup
29.01.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chonburi	2:1
Thai League 1
29.04.23	Chonburi - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1
20.11.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chonburi	1:0
23.04.22	Chonburi - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:2
20.11.21	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chonburi	0:0
07.02.21	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chonburi	2:0

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