Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.8	Watch
	2.02	3.25	3.5
	2.12	3.43	4.07
	2.02	3.41	3.62	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.11	3.36	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.81)	3.33 ↓ (3.57)	3.69 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
46.2%

Draw
28.3%

Shenzhen Peng City
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chongqing Tongliang Long's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chongqing Tongliang Long, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chongqing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 38. Ruan Qilong 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. 3. Zhang Yingkai 26. He Xiaoqiang 9. Cimpanu G. 16. Zhang Zhixiong 10. Amadou I. 15. Chen Chunxin 7. Xiang Yuwang (C)	13. Peng Peng (G) 21. Nan Song 23. Yang Yiming 32. Benkovic F. 5. Hu Ruibao 20. Xuan Z. 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 8. Chow T. 36. Kartsev E. 10. Dai Wai-Tsun 7. Wesley Moraes (C)
Substitutes
30. Bai Yutao 5. Huang X. 6. Jin Pengxiang 21. Liu J. 24. Liu Mingshi 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Yu-Hei 28. Wang Haowen 37. Wei Suowei 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 4. Yue Ruijie	4. Jiang Zhipeng 1. Ji J. (G) 14. Li Long 17. Li Ning 31. Owusu-Sekyere D. 46. Shen H. 2. Tian Yifan 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 54. Yao J. 6. Yao Junsheng 15. Yu Rui 12. Zhang Xiaobin
Coaches
Liu Jianye	Chen Tao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Benkovic F. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ghojaehmet Shahzat ↓, Owusu-Sekyere D. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Chen Chunxin ⚽,
61', Dai Wai-Tsun ↓, Jiang Zhipeng ↑,
69', Chen Chunxin ↓, Ng Yu-Hei ↑,
77', Nan Song ↓, Yao Junsheng ↑,
78', Chow T. 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, Xiang Yuwang ⚽,
89', Cimpanu G. ↓, Wei Suowei ↑,
90+1', Wesley Moraes ↓, Li Ning ↑,
90+2', Yang Yiming ↓, Yu Rui ↑,
90+2', Li Ning 🟨,
90+3', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Liu J. ↑,
90+3', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Huang X. ↑,
90+4', Ruan Qilong ↓, Yue Ruijie ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 6).

Chongqing is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Shenzhen Peng City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Chongqing is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Chongqing: Du Yuezheng (Red Card)

There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Ademi A. (Injury) Zhang Yujie (Injury)

There are questionable in Chongqing: Cimpanu G. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27:32	-5	31
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	8	4	14	34:45	-11	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
11.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Zhejiang Professional - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:3 ✺
14.03.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWTWT
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
12.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Yunnan Yukun	3:4 ✺
05.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Wuhan Three Towns	5:2 ✺
21.03.26	Qingdao West Coast - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shenzhen Peng City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL

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