Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)
| team | position | project points | now | relegated | qualify for acl | win league |
| Guangzhou Evergrande | 1 (100%) | 72 | 72 | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| Beijing Guoan | 2 (100%) | 70 | 70 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| Shanghai Port | 3 (100%) | 66 | 66 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty | 4 (100%) | 53 | 53 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan | 5 (100%) | 51 | 51 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Wuhan | 6 (100%) | 44 | 44 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 7 (100%) | 41 | 41 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | 8 (100%) | 41 | 41 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dalian Pro | 9 (100%) | 38 | 38 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic | 10 (100%) | 36 | 36 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Hebei CFFC | 11 (100%) | 33 | 33 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Guangzhou City | 12 (100%) | 32 | 32 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 13 (100%) | 30 | 30 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Tianjin Tianhai | 14 (100%) | 25 | 25 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Shenzhen | 15 (100%) | 21 | 21 | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Beijing Renhe | 16 (100%) | 14 | 14 | 100% | 0% | 0% |
