Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 5

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday


	Chornomorets Odesa		Feniks-Mariupol

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.93	5.82
	1.32	4.45	9.19	Watch
	1.45	3.82	6.68
	1.35	4.2	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	4.1 ↓ (4.2)	7.5 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
65.6%

Draw
22.2%

Feniks-Mariupol
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

21.7%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

20.4%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chornomorets Odesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chornomorets Odesa - Feniks Mariupol Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chornomorets will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Feniks-Mariupol (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Feniks-Mariupol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 28. Gabelok A. 9. Khoblenko O. 17. Kogut I. 19. Kogut M. 95. Lopyryonok M. 13. Osman O. 44. Rakitskyi Y. (C) 30. Romanyuk Y. 6. Sklyar O. 39. Skyba Y.	1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 39. Balan D. 14. Bilyi R. 90. Bogdanov A. 10. Gagun R. 84. Kusyi A. 7. Nepeypiev R. 9. Nych N. 8. Panchyshyn O. 32. Petko S. (C) 33. Sydorenko V.
Substitutes
77. Gerych V. 90. Hernandez L. 24. Jarju M. 34. Khacheridi Y. 42. Kozyr S. 4. Kratov M. 22. Ryazantsev Y. 27. Sukhar T. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 3. Yermakov V. 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)	11. Buryak R. 25. Gorin V. 44. Koreshkov V. 77. Kovalyuk R. 66. Melnyk O. 20. Orobets I. 16. Radchenko M. 29. Remenyak A. 21. Tkachuk A. 19. Vilkhovyi A. 55. Zadereyko A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Sklyar O. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
80', 2 - 0, Khoblenko O. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 11).

Chornomorets is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Feniks-Mariupol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Feniks-Mariupol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chornomorets is the clear favorite.

We predict that Chornomorets will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chornomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Chornomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.08.25	UCSA - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Vorskla Poltava	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chornomorets Odesa	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Nyva Ternopil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWW
- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
31.08.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Uzhhorod - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.08.25	UCSA - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0 ✺
11.08.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Vorskla Poltava - Feniks-Mariupol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Feniks-Mariupol	2:1

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