Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Chornomorets Odesa		Zorya Luhansk

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	3.85	3.25	1.92
	1.64	3.59	5.47	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.95
	3.73	3.32	1.98	Watch
	3.69	3.32	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (5.05)	3.3 ↑ (2.9)	2.54 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
30%

Draw
30.5%

Zorya Luhansk
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

32.1%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chornomorets Odesa's performance.

Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zorya Luhansk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Lopyryonok M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Budkivsky P. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 1.

Zorya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Zorya has had a series of home games.

In this match, Zorya is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 10:38. (average 0.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chornomorets won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Vorskla Poltava	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chornomorets Odesa	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Nyva Ternopil	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Rukh Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
24.05.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWLT
- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
18.08.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kryvbas	2:3 ✺
11.08.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kudrivka	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Zorya Luhansk - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Zorya Luhansk - Al-Sailiya	0:0 ✺
17.07.25	Varaždin - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
14.12.24	Zorya Luhansk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1
10.08.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	0:1
14.04.24	Zorya Luhansk - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0
Ukrainian Cup
01.11.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	4:1
Ukrainian Premier League
30.09.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	0:0
29.04.23	Zorya Luhansk - Chornomorets Odesa	3:1
18.10.22	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	0:4

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