Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Chornomorets (Odesa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	OneFootball TV


	Chornomorets Odesa		Obolon

	1	X	2
	2.90	2.95	2.55
	2.75	2.70	2.60
	3.04	2.98	2.57
	2.54	3.03	3.1	Watch
	2.95	2.90	2.50
	2.92	3.13	2.45	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.4)	2.93 ↓ (3.08)	2.61 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
32.6%

Draw
31.7%

Obolon
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chornomorets Odesa's form might have worsened.

Obolon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Obolon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chornomorets Odesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Obolon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chornomorets will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Obolon (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Obolon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 23. Gusev O. 24. Jarju M. 74. Faryna M. 19. Kogut M. 30. Jobe M. 5. Kurko V. (C) 11. Popov K. 10. Avagimyan A. 27. Pushkaryov O. 99. Mba C.	1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 2. Kapinus D. 3. Yermakov V. 30. Prokopchuk K. 28. Polegenko P. 6. Chekh M. 4. Moroz T. 7. Matkevych A. 10. Slobodyan O. (C) 14. Shulyanskyi A. 9. Ustymenko D.
Substitutes
7. Alefirenko D. 16. Bayda N. (G) 13. Faraseyenko V. 9. Khoma A. 8. Klyots D. 35. Koval M. (G) 4. Kratov M. 60. Melnychenko M. 18. Robakidze G. 20. Stepovyi N. 52. Yarmola S. 70. Yoka J. D.	12. Barantsov K. (G) 8. Kulakovskyi A. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 90. Lyakh T. 15. Myshnyov D. 5. Shevchenko Y. 50. Shostak D. 78. Skrygun V. 55. Sukhanov S. 99. Teslyuk D. 20. Volokhatyi R. 36. Vorobyov N. (G)
Coaches
Grygorchuk R.	Antonenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Kogut M. 🟨,
22', Moroz T. 🟨,
28', Jobe M. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Popov K. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Kogut M. ↓, Faraseyenko V. ↑,
37', Jobe M. ↓, Robakidze G. ↑,
42', Moroz T. ↓, Sukhanov S. ↑,
45+1', Avagimyan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Avagimyan A. ↓, Klyots D. ↑,
46', Ustymenko D. ↓, Lyakh T. ↑,
49', Sukhanov S. 🟨,
53', Chekh M. 🟨,
57', Mba C. 🟨,
60', Chekh M. ↓, Volokhatyi R. ↑,
60', Slobodyan O. ↓, Myshnyov D. ↑,
60', Mba C. ↓, Yoka J. D. ↑,
61', Prokopchuk K. 🟨,
66', Shulyanskyi A. ↓, Kulakovskyi A. ↑,
83', Kulakovskyi A. 🟨,
86', Pushkaryov O. 🟨,
88', Kurko V. 🟨,
88', Matkevych A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Fedorivsky N. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 13th in the Persha Liga (Relegation) and 14th in the Persha Liga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 2.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Recently, Obolon has had a run of games away from home.

Chornomorets is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Chornomorets has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chornomorets against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Ch. Odesa	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
15	Obolon	7	0	4	3	2:12	-10	4

Last Results with these Odds

Obolon - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 29.59%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.26	Vilkhivtsi - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
16.08.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLL
- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
12.09.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Obolon	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kharkiv - Obolon	5:0 ✺
28.08.26	Kolos Kovalivka - Obolon	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Karpaty Lviv - Obolon	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
15.08.26	Kudrivka - Obolon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
12.04.25	Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0
04.10.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon	1:0
26.02.24	Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1
12.08.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon	2:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.03.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon	1:1
20.09.20	Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa	2:3
15.07.20	Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0

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