Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)

Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kharkiv		Obolon

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.80	8.00
	1.32	4.50	7.50
	1.38	4.74	8.43
	1.42	4.46	8.53	Watch
	1.36	4.65	7.90
	1.37	4.74	7.90	Watch
	1.35	4.55	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	4.63 ↑ (4.5)	8 ↓ (8.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
68.3%

Draw
20.1%

Obolon
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

21.1%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

20.4%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Obolon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Kharkiv - Obolon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kharkiv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yermakov G. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 13. Salyuk V. 31. Shabanov A. 29. Smolyakov A. 14. Gadzhyev R. 5. Kalyuzhnyi I. (C) 18. Pavlyuk Y. 7. Zabergja B. 10. Paraco C. 98. Itodo P.	1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 13. Medynskyi I. 3. Yermakov V. 30. Prokopchuk K. 28. Polegenko P. 20. Volokhatyi R. 6. Chekh M. 14. Shulyanskyi A. 10. Slobodyan O. (C) 7. Matkevych A. 55. Sukhanov S.
Substitutes
9. Antyukh D. 16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 11. Castillo S. 37. Dubko V. 25. Kogut I. 24. Martynyuk O. 85. Plichko O. 6. Profini R. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 64. Pushkalov D. 30. Varakuta D. (G)	80. Chornyi A. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 90. Lyakh T. 91. Lyashchuk R. 4. Moroz T. 15. Myshnyov D. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 5. Shevchenko Y. 50. Shostak D. 78. Skrygun V. 9. Ustymenko D. 36. Vorobyov N. (G)
Coaches
Bartulovic M.	Antonenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
2', Volokhatyi R. 🟨,
7', Volokhatyi R. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Itodo P. (Penalty Awarded),
8', 2 - 0, Paraco C. ⚽, Zabergja B. (A),
15', 3 - 0, Zabergja B. ⚽, Itodo P. (A),
24', 4 - 0, Krupskyi I. ⚽, Gadzhyev R. (A),
27', Chekh M. 🟨,
29', Matkevych A. ↓, Moroz T. ↑,
29', Medynskyi I. ↓, Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. ↑,
38', Itodo P. 🟨,
38', Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 🟨,
39', Moroz T. 🟨,
45+1', 5 - 0, Itodo P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chekh M. ↓, Shostak D. ↑,
46', Itodo P. ↓, Antyukh D. ↑,
46', Salyuk V. ↓, Profini R. ↑,
59', Zabergja B. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
71', Shabanov A. ↓, Dubko V. ↑,
71', Paraco C. ↓, Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↑,
73', Sukhanov S. ↓, Ustymenko D. ↑,
81', Shulyanskyi A. ↓, Shevchenko Y. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kharkiv won 2.

Recent performances by Kharkiv have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Obolon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Obolon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Obolon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kharkiv is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kharkiv won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kharkiv won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	12:4	8	12
15	Obolon	7	0	4	3	2:12	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
31.08.26	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kharkiv - Veres Rivne	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Kharkiv - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
28.08.26	Kolos Kovalivka - Obolon	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Karpaty Lviv - Obolon	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
15.08.26	Kudrivka - Obolon	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Obolon	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Obolon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
12.12.25	Obolon - Kharkiv	1:3
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Kharkiv - Obolon	2:0
Ukrainian Premier League
04.08.25	Kharkiv - Obolon	0:0
22.04.24	Kharkiv - Obolon	1:1
08.10.23	Obolon - Kharkiv	1:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.05.21	Obolon - Kharkiv	1:1
31.10.20	Kharkiv - Obolon	0:1

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