Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Chornomorets (Odesa)

Referee: Tsibulko E. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Chornomorets Odesa		Oleksandriya

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.57
	4.4	3.8	1.73
	4.07	3.66	2.04
	5.9	3.99	1.59	Watch
	6	3.7	1.57
	4.07	3.75	1.93	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↓ (4.98)	3.8 ↓ (4.07)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
19.4%

Draw
25.3%

Oleksandriya
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

22.8%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

22%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oleksandriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chornomorets (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Chornomorets (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Oleksandriya will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chornomorets (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudko A. (G) 24. Jarju M. 3. Yermakov V. 44. Rakitskyi Y. 2. Butko B. (C) 25. Kogut I. 14. Sigeev K. 28. Gabelok A. 77. Kysil Y. 9. Khoblenko O. 11. Popov K.	44. Yermakov G. (G) 22. Skorko D. 18. Loginov S. (C) 31. Shabanov A. 24. Martynyuk O. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. 59. Kozak A. 8. Buletsa S. 71. Shostak D. 27. Cara T. 10. Kulakov A.
Substitutes
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 21. Bezborodko D. 4. Kratov M. 34. Latsabidze L. 95. Mustafaev E. 88. Panchyshyn B. 33. Pshenychnyuk O. 80. Ryce A. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 17. Yanakov D.	21. Belyaev O. 86. Bol A. 1. Dolgyi V. (G) 9. Filippov O. 99. Galoyan S. 6. Kovalets K. 72. Makarenko N. (G) 15. Myshnyov D. 16. Ndicka Matam T. 19. Shepelev V. 55. Smyrnyi Y. 20. Vashchenko D.
Coaches
Kucher O.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Shabanov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Popov K. ↓, Bezborodko D. ↑,
48', Shostak D. 🟨,
59', Kulakov A. ↓, Filippov O. ↑,
60', Shostak D. ↓, Myshnyov D. ↑,
61', Martynyuk O. 🟨,
63', Gabelok A. ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
63', Kogut I. ↓, Ryce A. ↑,
69', Buletsa S. ↓, Kovalets K. ↑,
69', Loginov S. ↓, Vashchenko D. ↑,
77', Kozak A. ↓, Galoyan S. ↑,
80', Jarju M. ↓, Kratov M. ↑,
82', Kysil Y. ↓, Pshenychnyuk O. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Chornomorets is Relegated to Persha Liga

Oleksandriya is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 2.

Chornomorets is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oleksandriya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Oleksandriya has had a series of away games.

In this match, Oleksandriya is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Chornomorets: Neto J. (Knee Injury) Prysyazhnyuk A. (Knee Injury) Udod D. (Injury)

There will not play in Oleksandriya: Shulyanskyi A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chornomorets won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
18.05.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Vorskla Poltava - Chornomorets Odesa	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
26.04.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Rukh Lviv	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Veres Rivne - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TWLLL
- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
18.05.25	Oleksandriya - Veres Rivne	3:1 ✺
11.05.25	Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Oleksandriya	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Inhulets - Oleksandriya	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Vorskla Poltava - Oleksandriya	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
01.12.24	Oleksandriya - Chornomorets Odesa	3:0
07.04.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya	3:2
22.09.23	Oleksandriya - Chornomorets Odesa	1:5
09.04.23	Oleksandriya - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1
02.10.22	Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya	1:2
27.08.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya	2:2
16.03.19	Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya	0:3

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