Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Chrobrego (Głogów)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Chrobry Głogów		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.4
	2.23	3.16	3.32	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.18	3.2	3.21	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.25)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.22 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrobry Głogów
42.2%

Draw
29%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.1%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Chrobry Głogów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chrobry will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kotwica Kołobrzeg will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chrobry: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Arndt D. (G) 29. Tupaj P. 44. Zarowny A. 5. Bougaidis M. 35. Marcinkowski E. 77. Hanc D. 20. Szwedzik P. 7. Bonecki S. 16. Mandrysz R. (C) 80. Tabis K. 90. Lewandowski M.	88. Koziol M. (G) 7. Kosakiewicz L. (C) 27. Welna T. 21. Kozajda M. 10. Cywinski M. 24. Oliveira F. 44. Lucas Ramos 29. Bykowski M. 80. Petrovic Z. 39. Jonathan Junior 32. Rajsel N.
Substitutes
14. Biel B. 13. Kuzdra J. 11. Lebedynski M. 33. Malczuk N. 19. Mucha P. 9. Ozimek M. 96. Szarek P. 1. Wroblewski K. (G)	77. Bieganski A. 9. Kozlowski F. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 99. Trojnarski A. 66. Witasik P. 17. Zietek L.
Coaches
Plewnia P.	Tarasiewicz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Bougaidis M. ↓, Szarek P. ↑,
28', 0 - 1, Jonathan Junior ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', Bonecki S. 🟨,
50', Tabis K. ↓, Lebedynski M. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Szwedzik P. ⚽,
56', Oliveira F. ↓, Witasik P. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Jonathan Junior ⚽, Welna T. (A),
62', Bonecki S. ↓, Mucha P. ↑,
62', Hanc D. ↓, Kuzdra J. ↑,
65', Jonathan Junior 🟨,
69', Zarowny A. 🟨,
75', Cywinski M. ↓, Kort K. ↑,
79', Mandrysz R. 🟨,
85', Lewandowski M. 🟨,
89', Kuzdra J. 🟨,
90', Rajsel N. ↓, Kozlowski F. ↑,
90+2', Szwedzik P. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Tupaj P. ⚽, Lewandowski M. (A),
90+7', Bykowski M. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 2, Zarowny A. ⚽, Mucha P. (A),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 12).

Chrobry is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chrobry will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
19.10.24	Miedź Legnica - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
16.09.24	Znicz Pruszków - Chrobry Głogów	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTLLW
- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
19.10.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Ruch Chorzów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.19	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Chrobry Głogów	0:2

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