Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Churchill Brothers		ATK Mohun Bagan

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.4
	2.5	3.6	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 (2.43)	3.6 (3.6)	2.42 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Churchill Brothers
37.4%

Draw
25.2%

ATK Mohun Bagan
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

18.4%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Churchill Brothers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ATK Mohun Bagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Churchill Brothers than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Churchill Brothers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ATK Mohun Bagan than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ATK Mohun Bagan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Churchill Brothers - ATK Mohun Bagan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Churchill Brothers
Indian I-League
19.02.20	Churchill Brothers - Real Kashmir	2:1 ✺
15.02.20	Churchill Brothers - Aizawl	2:1 ✺
09.02.20	Churchill Brothers - Chennai City	1:2 ✺
02.02.20	Churchill Brothers - NEROCA	4:1 ✺
26.01.20	Gokulam Kerala - Churchill Brothers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- ATK Mohun Bagan
Indian I-League
14.02.20	ATK Mohun Bagan - NEROCA	6:2 ✺
09.02.20	ATK Mohun Bagan - Punjab	1:0 ✺
31.01.20	Chennai City - ATK Mohun Bagan	2:3 ✺
23.01.20	NEROCA - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:3 ✺
19.01.20	ATK Mohun Bagan - East Bengal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Indian I-League
08.12.19	ATK Mohun Bagan - Churchill Brothers	2:4
09.02.19	Churchill Brothers - ATK Mohun Bagan	1:1
25.11.18	ATK Mohun Bagan - Churchill Brothers	0:3
Indian Super Cup
01.04.18	Churchill Brothers - ATK Mohun Bagan	1:2
Indian I-League
03.03.18	Churchill Brothers - ATK Mohun Bagan	1:2
10.12.17	ATK Mohun Bagan - Churchill Brothers	5:0
04.03.17	Churchill Brothers - ATK Mohun Bagan	2:1

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