The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ATK Mohun Bagan 54.8%
Draw 24%
Punjab 21.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59%
22.5%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
21.4%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ATK Mohun Bagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Punjab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ATK Mohun Bagan than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ATK Mohun Bagan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Punjab than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
ATK Mohun Bagan - Punjab Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - ISL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - ISL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mohun Bagan won 5.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Mohun Bagan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Mohun Bagan carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Mohun Bagan in today's match, at odds of 1.6.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Mohun Bagan has recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 31:11 (averaging 2.1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mohun Bagan against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:8 goals (averaging 2.6:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Punjab
3
2
1
0
6:4
2
7
5
Mohun Bagan
3
2
0
1
3:2
1
6
Last Results with these Odds
ATK Mohun Bagan - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.96%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.