Match Info

Prva NL - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion HNK Cibalia (Vinkovci)


	Cibalia		Karlovac

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5.25
	1.65	3.3	4.95
	1.74	3.39	4.49
	1.73	3.34	4.67	Watch
	1.7	3	4.6
	1.69	3.28	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.5)	3.25 ↓ (3.49)	4.81 ↓ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cibalia
53.4%

Draw
27.8%

Karlovac
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

25.9%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

24.8%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cibalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cibalia's form might have worsened.

Karlovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlovac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cibalia than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cibalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlovac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cibalia - Karlovac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galic M. (G) 7. Boban G. 24. Bosak D. 14. Brlek P. 4. Kelic R. (C) 10. Misic P. 21. Pervan M. 5. Rubic P. 25. Sopic S. 15. Stapic K. 11. Zabec D.	1. Maric D. I. (G) 2. Barac M. 5. Braun P. 21. Gaspar M. 19. Kapulica L. 26. Markeljevic M. 13. Mrkela P. 24. Simcic D. 6. Simunic D. 18. Sop M. 10. Zuljevic M.
Substitutes
18. Bartolovic L. . Britto 9. Bubnjar A. 26. Godec N. 20. Grujevic M. 8. Kuzminski M. 1. Marijanovic L. (G) 13. Rajkovic L. 16. Vukic I.	11. Budimir J. 28. Mionic A. 20. Pamic Z. 22. Raguz P. 16. Regetas D. . Salic S. 12. Sarkanj T. (G) 27. Stosic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Kelic R. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Misic P. ⚽,
44', Markeljevic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gaspar M. ↓, Mionic A. ↑,
46', Barac M. ↓, Raguz P. ↑,
46', Markeljevic M. ↓, Budimir J. ↑,
46', Stapic K. 🟨,
61', Stapic K. ↓, Grujevic M. ↑,
68', Boban G. ↓, Kuzminski M. ↑,
68', Pervan M. ↓, Bartolovic L. ↑,
68', Stapic K. ↓, Grujevic M. ↑,
72', Sop M. ↓, Stosic A. ↑,
77', Misic P. ↓, Godec N. ↑,
87', Bartolovic L. 🟨,
90', Simcic D. 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 1, Zuljevic M. ⚽,
90+3', Galic M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Karlovac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Karlovac has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cibalia is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cibalia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cibalia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Cibalia	7	3	4	0	7:4	3	13
11	Karlovac	7	2	2	3	8:10	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Cibalia
Croatian Prva NL
11.04.26	Dubrava - Cibalia	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Cibalia - Croatia Zmijavci	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Hrvace - Cibalia	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cibalia - Opatija	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Dugopolje - Cibalia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLWL
- Karlovac
Croatian Prva NL
10.04.26	Karlovac - Bijelo Brdo	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Karlovac - Dubrava	5:0 ✺
28.03.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Karlovac	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Karlovac - Hrvace	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Karlovac - Orijent	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
08.03.26	Cibalia - Karlovac	1:2
11.10.25	Karlovac - Cibalia	0:1

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