Match Info

Croatian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek (Karlovac)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Karlovac		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	12.00	7.00	1.15
	11.5	7.5	1.14
	12	8.01	1.15
	12.5	6.8	1.16	Watch
	8.35	7.9	1.13
	12.4	8.25	1.14
	11	7.6	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.39 ↑ (6.85)	7.58 ↑ (4.77)	1.14 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlovac
8%

Draw
12.1%

Rijeka
79.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.3%

19.1%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

19.2%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karlovac's form might have worsened.

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rijeka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlovac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rijeka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Karlovac - Rijeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karlovac will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rijeka will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlovac (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zaverukha I. (G) 14. Buneta A. 23. Kapulica L. 8. Paracki G. (C) 22. Pervan M. 24. Raguz P. 2. Ropar D. 80. Scira D. 32. Skrbin V. 6. Stipic M. 3. Zilinski F.	13. Vekic I. (G) 18. Adu Adjei D. 26. Dantas T. 34. Devetak M. 10. Fruk T. 14. Gojak A. 51. Husic A. 23. Lasickas J. 45. Majstorovic A. (C) 22. Orec A. 6. Pavic B.
Substitutes
33. Bett 5. Braun P. 19. Fumic I. 11. Gaspar M. 27. Lepinjica I. 20. Ocvirek N. 7. Ribar I. 18. Sop M. 4. Stepinac G. 36. Tadic M. 1. Vucelic L. 10. Zuljevic M.	5. Barco A. 91. Bodetic N. 8. Cubelic I. 15. Grulovic G. 4. Jankovic N. 77. Juric A. 7. Kabadayi Y. 1. Kovac V. (G) 9. Mohebi M. 21. Puljic J. 99. Todorovic A. (G) 3. Zivkovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Adu Adjei D. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Adu Adjei D. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Adu Adjei D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Scira D. ↓, Ocvirek N. ↑,
46', Raguz P. ↓, Ropar D. ↑,
66', Lasickas J. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
66', Fruk T. ↓, Puljic J. ↑,
66', Dantas T. ↓, Cubelic I. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Kapulica L. ⚽,
78', Zaverukha I. ↓, Vucelic L. ↑,
78', Stipic M. ↓, Fumic I. ↑,
80', Adu Adjei D. 🟨,
81', Paracki G. 🟨,
83', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
85', 1 - 4, Mohebi M. ⚽,
86', Ropar D. ↓, Gaspar M. ↑,
87', Pavic B. ↓, Grulovic G. ↑,

Preview

Karlovac is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Rijeka have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, Rijeka enters as the overwhelming favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlovac
Croatian Prva NL
16.10.26	Dinamo II Zagreb - Karlovac	0:1 ✺
09.10.26	Karlovac - Bijelo Brdo	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Segesta - Karlovac	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Karlovac - Dubrava	0:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
15.09.26	Bjelovar - Karlovac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWTLW
- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
16.10.26	Rudeš - Rijeka	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Slaven Belupo - Rijeka	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Rijeka - Union Berlin	0:1
Croatian HNL
20.09.26	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	3:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
16.09.26	Vrbovec - Rijeka	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWW

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