Match Info

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Cibao FC (Santiago)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cibao		Defence Force

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.74	3.8	3.7
	1.76	3.89	3.73	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.79	3.55	3.83	Watch
	1.72	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2)	3.68 ↑ (3.25)	3.77 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cibao
51.5%

Draw
24.5%

Defence Force
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

28.6%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cibao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cibao's performance.

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cibao than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Cibao - Defence Force Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
45+6', 1 - 0, Correa R. ⚽, Ventura C. (A),
45+8', 2 - 0, Peralta Y. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Correa R. (Pen),
90+4', 2 - 1, Ollivierra D. ⚽, Molino K. (A),
90+7', Modesta W. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.

Recent performances by Cibao have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Defence Force is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Defence Force may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cibao will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cibao won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cibao won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cibao FC
Dominican Republic LDF
29.11.25	Don Bosco Jarabacoa - Cibao	0:3 ✺
Caribbean Club Championship
25.11.25	Defence Force - Cibao	3:0 ✺
Dominican Republic LDF
21.11.25	Cibao - Universidad O&M	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Atlántico - Cibao	0:5 ✺
Caribbean Club Championship
06.11.25	Cibao - Universidad O&M	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL
- Defence Force FC
Caribbean Club Championship
25.11.25	Defence Force - Cibao	3:0 ✺
Trinidad and Tobago Premier League
09.11.25	Police FC - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
Caribbean Club Championship
05.11.25	Mount Pleasant - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
Trinidad and Tobago Premier League
01.11.25	Defence Force - Cunupia Eagles FC	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Defence Force - Port of Spain	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Caribbean Club Championship
25.11.25	Defence Force - Cibao	3:0
01.10.25	Cibao - Defence Force	0:2

Cibao - Defence Force: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide