Match Info

LDF - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cibao		Moca

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.10	5.50
				Watch
	1.67	3.21	5.16
	1.7	3.51	4.68	Watch
	1.74	3.55	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	5.01 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cibao
54.3%

Draw
27.4%

Moca
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.2%

26.8%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.5%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cibao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Moca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cibao than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moca than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Cibao - Moca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cibao (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cibao (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cibao (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Jaquez J. M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - LDF Apertura - Playoffs and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cibao won 1.

Cibao has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Moca has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cibao carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cibao has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:11 (averaging 0.9:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cibao against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:1 goals (averaging 0.8:0.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Cibao ✔	12	7	3	2	24:8	16	24
5	Moca	12	4	4	4	10:10	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cibao FC
Dominican Republic LDF
16.10.26	Atlético Vega Real - Cibao	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Delfines del Este - Cibao	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Cibao - Don Bosco Jarabacoa	3:0 ✺
23.09.26	Salcedo - Cibao	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Cibao - Universidad O&M	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWTT
- Moca FC
Dominican Republic LDF
17.10.26	Moca - Don Bosco Jarabacoa	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Moca - Universidad O&M	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Salcedo - Moca	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Atlético Vega Real - Moca	1:0 ✺
23.09.26	Moca - Delfines del Este	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dominican Republic LDF
13.09.26	Moca - Cibao	2:1
01.04.26	Moca - Cibao	2:2
22.02.26	Cibao - Moca	1:0
17.01.26	Moca - Cibao	1:0
18.10.25	Moca - Cibao	0:0
08.08.25	Cibao - Moca	0:1
Dominican Republic Copa de la LDF
10.05.25	Cibao - Moca	0:0

Cibao - Moca