The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cincinnati 2 38.8%
Draw 27%
Toronto FC II 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
26.1%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
27.1%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati 2's form might have worsened.
Toronto FC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toronto FC II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto FC II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Mrozek F. (G) 40. Hurtado D. 50. Samson F. 48. Lachekar S. 60. Kuisel W. 30. Chavez A. 47. Sullivan M. 82. Sphire C. 43. Holmes C. 19. Chirila S. 57. Orejarena L.
80. Nakhly Z. (G) 83. Omoregbe E. 91. Barrow D. 98. Kapor S. 72. Stampatori D. 82. Boneau B. (C) 61. Fortier T. 68. Adamson D. 93. Dixon D. 62. Nugent J. 84. Khodri E.
Substitutes
89. Dale C. (G) 79. DeHart G. 62. Gassan N. 45. Gray N. 85. Lester D. 44. Marioni G. 54. Mize J. 68. Schlotterbeck R. 42. Vazquez M.
69. Blyth T. 65. Campbell-Dennis R. 74. Costabile L. 60. Kalongo C. (G) 63. Pinnock S. 85. Sappleton S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Sullivan M. 🟨,
21', Stampatori D. ↓, Campbell-Dennis R. ↑,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Chirila S. ⚽,
51', 2 - 0, Lachekar S. ⚽, Chavez A. (A),
57', Sphire C. 🟨,
60', 3 - 0, Chirila S. ⚽,
68', Chirila S. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
68', Sphire C. ↓, Mize J. ↑,
69', Boneau B. ↓, Sappleton S. ↑,
69', Dixon D. ↓, Blyth T. ↑,
69', Khodri E. ↓, Pinnock S. ↑,
69', Adamson D. ↓, Costabile L. ↑,
79', Holmes C. ↓, DeHart G. ↑,
79', Chavez A. ↓, Schlotterbeck R. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Sullivan M. ⚽, Vazquez M. (A),
83', Hurtado D. ↓, Lester D. ↑,
86', 5 - 0, Vazquez M. ⚽, Mize J. (A),
87', Barrow D. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2.
Recent form of Cincinnati 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Toronto II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Cincinnati 2 has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
World
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Mrozek F. (G) 
Hurtado D. 
Samson F. 
Lachekar S. 
Chirila S. 
Nakhly Z. (G) 
Vazquez M. 
Blyth T. 
Campbell-Dennis R. 
Costabile L. 
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