The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto FC II 36.6%
Draw 24.2%
New York City II 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
25.2%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
26.7%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.
New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York City II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York City II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto FC II - New York City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. De Rosario A. (G) 72. Stampatori D. 75. Fisher R. 76. Stefanovic L. 96. Chukwu R. 78. Henry M. 82. Boneau B. 86. Salaou A. 79. Bank F. 64. Nolan J. 87. Dawson L.
31. Learned M. (G) 82. Campos A. 57. Suchecki J. 77. Lopez J. 44. Sunjic L. 71. Molinari P. 15. Pierre K. 93. Samb E. 29. Carrizo M. 83. Ponce J. 99. Reid S.
Substitutes
91. Barrow D. 69. Blyth T. 93. Dixon D. 98. Kapor S. 84. Khodri E. 89. Mikina G. 80. Nakhly Z. (G) 66. Nue-Brito D. 83. Omoregbe E.
47. Arroyave J. 56. Bilden J. 79. Danquah C. 97. Duque D. 75. Kerr D. 58. Martin E. 90. McDermott D. (G) 84. Vafiades N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Lopez J. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Nolan J. (Penalty Awarded),
29', 2 - 0, Henry M. ⚽, Boneau B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Samb E. 🟨,
57', Chukwu R. 🟨,
60', Salaou A. ↓, Nue-Brito D. ↑,
60', Henry M. ↓, Dixon D. ↑,
60', Stefanovic L. ↓, Mikina G. ↑,
73', Ponce J. ↓, Arroyave J. ↑,
73', Campos A. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
77', Pierre K. 🟨,
77', Dawson L. ↓, Blyth T. ↑,
84', Nolan J. ↓, Barrow D. ↑,
84', Reid S. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Chukwu R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 3.
Toronto II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
New York City II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Toronto II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, New York City II has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
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De Rosario A. (G) 
Fisher R. 
Salaou A. 
Nolan J. 
Campos A. 
Blyth T. 
Danquah C. 
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