Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Città di Fasano		Nardo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.51	4.57
	1.81	3.27	4.34	Watch
	1.59	3.62	5.17
	2.02	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.36)	3.68 ↓ (4.25)	4.3 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Fasano
53.4%

Draw
25.1%

Nardo
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Città di Fasano's form might have worsened.

Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nardo's recent form is better than expected.

Città di Fasano - Nardo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fasano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Città di Fasano won 2.

Nardo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Città di Fasano is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Città di Fasano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Città di Fasano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.09.25	Acerrana - Città di Fasano	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Città di Fasano - Nola	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Città di Fasano - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Nocerina - Città di Fasano	4:2 ✺
04.05.25	Città di Fasano - Nardo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWLW
- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.09.25	Nardo - Nola	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Real Normanna - Nardo	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Nardo - Gravina	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Martina Calcio - Nardo	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Nardo - Paganese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
04.05.25	Città di Fasano - Nardo	4:2
22.12.24	Nardo - Città di Fasano	0:2
07.04.24	Nardo - Città di Fasano	5:0
26.11.23	Città di Fasano - Nardo	2:3
22.01.23	Città di Fasano - Nardo	0:0
18.09.22	Nardo - Città di Fasano	0:0
15.05.22	Città di Fasano - Nardo	3:2

Città di Fasano - Nardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide