The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cittadella 32.6%
Draw 30.5%
Vicenza Virtus 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
28.2%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
28.1%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cittadella's performance.
Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vicenza Virtus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cittadella that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vicenza Virtus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
60%
40%
Cittadella - Vicenza Virtus Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Vicenza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Vicenza (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Cittadella (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vicenza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
69. Zanellati A. (G) 2. Salvi A. 55. Redolfi A. 18. Pavan N. 28. Rizza A. 16. Vita A. (C) 15. Verna L. 30. De Zen R. 90. Bunino C. 17. Gaddini M. 99. Castelli D.
16. Gagno R. (G) 14. Cuomo G. 6. Leverbe M. 27. Sandon T. 19. Tribuzzi A. 26. Pellizzari G. 4. Carraro M. 99. Vitale M. 32. Costa F. 11. Stuckler D. 9. Morra C.
Substitutes
5. Barberis A. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 64. Cecchetto A. 14. Crialese C. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 9. Diaw D. 6. Djibril A. 23. Egharevba D. . Gobbato M. 77. Ihnatov E. 21. Rabbi S. 22. Scquizzato E. (G)
24. Alessio F. 1. Basso M. (G) 23. Benassai F. 28. Caferri L. 10. Capello A. 8. Cavion M. 21. Cester S. 76. Fantoni N. 13. Golin M. 12. Massolo S. (G) 77. Rada A. 7. Rauti N. 44. Talarico R. 33. Vescovi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Morra C. 🟨,
44', Pellizzari G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Sandon T. 🟨,
52', Salvi A. 🟨,
58', Gaddini M. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
58', Bunino C. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
66', Pellizzari G. ↓, Talarico R. ↑,
66', Stuckler D. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
74', Rizza A. ↓, Crialese C. ↑,
75', Vitale M. ↓, Rada A. ↑,
75', Morra C. ↓, Rauti N. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Rauti N. ⚽,
82', Castelli D. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
82', Salvi A. ↓, Egharevba D. ↑,
82', Sandon T. ↓, Benassai F. ↑,
84', Rabbi S. 🟨,
90+5', Desogus J. 🟨,
Preview
Recent performances by Cittadella have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vicenza Virtus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Cittadella won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Vicenza Virtus - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.55%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.