Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Pergolettese		Cittadella

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.25
	3.45	3.1	2.08
	3.59	3.14	2.08
	1.01	13.41	25.00	Watch
	3.63	3.02	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)	5.15 ↑ (3.18)	6.69 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
50%

Draw
28.2%

Cittadella
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.2%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pergolettese's performance.

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cittadella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pergolettese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cittadella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pergolettese - Cittadella Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordaro L. (G) 27. Aidoo M. 4. Arini M. 26. Bane A. 33. Capoferri M. 21. Careccia S. 6. Dore S. 10. Ferrandino D. 14. Lambrughi A. 9. Parker S. 77. Pessolani G.	69. Zanellati A. (G) 5. Barberis A. 90. Bunino C. 10. Casolari F. 99. Castelli D. 14. Crialese C. 23. Egharevba D. 17. Gaddini M. 44. Gatti R. 55. Redolfi A. 2. Salvi A. (C)
Substitutes
3. Antolini J. 13. Benvenuto M. 11. Corti N. 32. Di Gesu E. 22. Doldi F. (G) 12. Finardi E. (G) 80. Jaouhari Z. 72. Padalino A. 30. Pepa N. 76. Roversi L. 82. Sartori F. 7. Tomaselli G. 20. Tremolada M.	7. Anastasia E. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 30. De Zen R. 9. Diaw D. 77. Ihnatov E. 18. Pavan N. 21. Rabbi S. 28. Rizza A. 22. Scquizzato E. (G) 15. Verna L. 16. Vita A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Parker S. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Bunino C. ⚽,
19', Gaddini M. 🟨,
22', 2 - 1, Bane A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gatti R. ↓, Pavan N. ↑,
46', Egharevba D. ↓, Anastasia E. ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Dore S. ⚽,
54', Barberis A. ↓, Verna L. ↑,
59', Gaddini M. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
69', Ferrandino D. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
70', Anastasia E. 🟨,
76', Castelli D. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
82', Dore S. ↓, Tremolada M. ↑,
82', Parker S. ↓, Corti N. ↑,
82', Pessolani G. ↓, Benvenuto M. ↑,
90', Capoferri M. ↓, Antolini J. ↑,

Preview

Pergolettese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cittadella is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pergolettese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pergolettese has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.25	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Pergolettese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0 ✺
06.08.25	Pergolettese - Brusaporto	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
29.08.25	Cittadella - Alcione	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Virtus Verona - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Ravenna - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Cittadella - Mestre	3:1 ✺
07.08.25	Cittadella - Bassano Virtus	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLWW

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